Recent high-pressure systems over western Europe, building after May's exceptional heatwave, are supporting milder overnight conditions and driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–20°C minima for June 16. Ensemble forecasts from Meteo-France and ECMWF indicate limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, keeping daily lows several degrees above the long-term June average of 13–17°C. Minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture create the narrow spread between leading outcomes, with traders weighing the latest 48-hour guidance ahead of final resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 16일 파리에서 가장 낮은 기온?
19°C 28%
20°C 20%
18°C 5%
22°C 4.5%
16°C 이하
4%
17°C
8%
18°C
5%
19°C
28%
20°C
25%
21°C
4%
22°C
5%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C 이상
1%
19°C 28%
20°C 20%
18°C 5%
22°C 4.5%
16°C 이하
4%
17°C
8%
18°C
5%
19°C
28%
20°C
25%
21°C
4%
22°C
5%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C 이상
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent high-pressure systems over western Europe, building after May's exceptional heatwave, are supporting milder overnight conditions and driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–20°C minima for June 16. Ensemble forecasts from Meteo-France and ECMWF indicate limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, keeping daily lows several degrees above the long-term June average of 13–17°C. Minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture create the narrow spread between leading outcomes, with traders weighing the latest 48-hour guidance ahead of final resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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