**Forecast models and official guidance from Météo-France and European centers point to a clear, calm night with light northwesterly winds, allowing radiational cooling after daytime highs of 26–31 °C.** This setup typically produces a minimum near the climatological June average low of ~13 °C, with the tight clustering around 12–13 °C reflecting model consensus on dew-point depression and minimal cloud cover. Recent runs show only modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects, keeping the 11 °C and 14 °C outcomes at low implied probabilities. Traders are weighting the most recent short-range guidance and historical analogs for similar synoptic patterns, where overnight lows rarely deviate more than 1–2 °C from these values absent unexpected moisture or wind shifts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 14일 파리에서 가장 기온이 낮으신가요?
6월 14일 파리에서 가장 기온이 낮으신가요?
13°C 53%
12°C 49%
11°C 3.4%
9°C 이하 <1%
신규
신규
2026.06.14
9°C 이하
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
54%
13°C
40%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C 이상
<1%
13°C 53%
12°C 49%
11°C 3.4%
9°C 이하 <1%
신규
신규
2026.06.14
9°C 이하
$657 거래량
1%
10°C
$533 거래량
1%
11°C
$327 거래량
3%
12°C
$114 거래량
54%
13°C
$298 거래량
40%
14°C
$731 거래량
<1%
15°C
$846 거래량
<1%
16°C
$1,232 거래량
<1%
17°C
$747 거래량
<1%
18°C
$153 거래량
<1%
19°C 이상
$916 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from Météo-France and European centers point to a clear, calm night with light northwesterly winds, allowing radiational cooling after daytime highs of 26–31 °C.** This setup typically produces a minimum near the climatological June average low of ~13 °C, with the tight clustering around 12–13 °C reflecting model consensus on dew-point depression and minimal cloud cover. Recent runs show only modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects, keeping the 11 °C and 14 °C outcomes at low implied probabilities. Traders are weighting the most recent short-range guidance and historical analogs for similar synoptic patterns, where overnight lows rarely deviate more than 1–2 °C from these values absent unexpected moisture or wind shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
거래량
$6,001종료일
2026.06.14마켓 개설일
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from Météo-France and European centers point to a clear, calm night with light northwesterly winds, allowing radiational cooling after daytime highs of 26–31 °C.** This setup typically produces a minimum near the climatological June average low of ~13 °C, with the tight clustering around 12–13 °C reflecting model consensus on dew-point depression and minimal cloud cover. Recent runs show only modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects, keeping the 11 °C and 14 °C outcomes at low implied probabilities. Traders are weighting the most recent short-range guidance and historical analogs for similar synoptic patterns, where overnight lows rarely deviate more than 1–2 °C from these values absent unexpected moisture or wind shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$6,001종료일
2026.06.14마켓 개설일
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Forecast models and official guidance from Météo-France and European centers point to a clear, calm night with light northwesterly winds, allowing radiational cooling after daytime highs of 26–31 °C.** This setup typically produces a minimum near the climatological June average low of ~13 °C, with the tight clustering around 12–13 °C reflecting model consensus on dew-point depression and minimal cloud cover. Recent runs show only modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects, keeping the 11 °C and 14 °C outcomes at low implied probabilities. Traders are weighting the most recent short-range guidance and historical analogs for similar synoptic patterns, where overnight lows rarely deviate more than 1–2 °C from these values absent unexpected moisture or wind shifts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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