The overwhelming market consensus on a 22°C high for São Paulo on June 13 stems from post-event confirmation via official meteorological records, which align precisely with the observed maximum. June climatology in the region typically features daytime highs near 22°C under stable winter conditions, with minimal day-to-day variability driven by subtropical high pressure and moderate humidity; multiple forecast models and station data converged on this value without significant deviations from baseline norms. Traders' near-100% implied probability reflects this alignment between real-time observations and historical patterns. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision from sources like INMET or equivalent monitoring networks due to instrumentation issues or quality-control adjustments, though such changes are rare after initial reporting.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 13일 상파울루에서 가장 높은 온도는?
22°C 100.0%
17°C 이하 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$100,742 거래량
$100,742 거래량
17°C 이하
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C 이상
<1%
22°C 100.0%
17°C 이하 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$100,742 거래량
$100,742 거래량
17°C 이하
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The overwhelming market consensus on a 22°C high for São Paulo on June 13 stems from post-event confirmation via official meteorological records, which align precisely with the observed maximum. June climatology in the region typically features daytime highs near 22°C under stable winter conditions, with minimal day-to-day variability driven by subtropical high pressure and moderate humidity; multiple forecast models and station data converged on this value without significant deviations from baseline norms. Traders' near-100% implied probability reflects this alignment between real-time observations and historical patterns. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision from sources like INMET or equivalent monitoring networks due to instrumentation issues or quality-control adjustments, though such changes are rare after initial reporting.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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