**Current forecasts from authoritative sources like the BBC and UK Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 16°C for Cape Town on June 15, 2026, under mostly sunny conditions with moderate south-easterly breezes.** This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 16°C (49.5% implied probability) and supports the secondary chance for 17°C (27%). Cape Town's winter temperatures are moderated by the cold Benguela Current and Atlantic influence, which typically keep June highs in the 15–18°C range per long-term climatology, rarely exceeding 20°C or dropping below 14°C without strong cold fronts. Recent model consensus shows stable high-pressure ridging with light winds and minimal cloud cover, favoring the upper end of the seasonal average rather than cooler maritime air intrusions. No significant short-term shifts—such as unexpected frontal passages or model divergences—have emerged in the latest runs, keeping trader focus on the 16°C threshold as the most likely resolution outcome while allowing modest upside for slight warming.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 15일 케이프타운에서 가장 높은 기온?
6월 15일 케이프타운에서 가장 높은 기온?
16°C 50%
17°C 27%
15°C 13%
18°C 5.8%
신규
신규
2026.06.15
11°C 이하
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
13%
16°C
50%
17°C
27%
18°C
6%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C 이상
<1%
16°C 50%
17°C 27%
15°C 13%
18°C 5.8%
신규
신규
2026.06.15
11°C 이하
$56 거래량
<1%
12°C
$52 거래량
<1%
13°C
$172 거래량
1%
14°C
$402 거래량
2%
15°C
$146 거래량
13%
16°C
$271 거래량
50%
17°C
$126 거래량
27%
18°C
$411 거래량
6%
19°C
$81 거래량
2%
20°C
$402 거래량
<1%
21°C 이상
$681 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from authoritative sources like the BBC and UK Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 16°C for Cape Town on June 15, 2026, under mostly sunny conditions with moderate south-easterly breezes.** This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 16°C (49.5% implied probability) and supports the secondary chance for 17°C (27%).
Cape Town's winter temperatures are moderated by the cold Benguela Current and Atlantic influence, which typically keep June highs in the 15–18°C range per long-term climatology, rarely exceeding 20°C or dropping below 14°C without strong cold fronts. Recent model consensus shows stable high-pressure ridging with light winds and minimal cloud cover, favoring the upper end of the seasonal average rather than cooler maritime air intrusions.
No significant short-term shifts—such as unexpected frontal passages or model divergences—have emerged in the latest runs, keeping trader focus on the 16°C threshold as the most likely resolution outcome while allowing modest upside for slight warming.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
거래량
$2,801종료일
2026.06.15마켓 개설일
Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from authoritative sources like the BBC and UK Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 16°C for Cape Town on June 15, 2026, under mostly sunny conditions with moderate south-easterly breezes.** This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 16°C (49.5% implied probability) and supports the secondary chance for 17°C (27%).
Cape Town's winter temperatures are moderated by the cold Benguela Current and Atlantic influence, which typically keep June highs in the 15–18°C range per long-term climatology, rarely exceeding 20°C or dropping below 14°C without strong cold fronts. Recent model consensus shows stable high-pressure ridging with light winds and minimal cloud cover, favoring the upper end of the seasonal average rather than cooler maritime air intrusions.
No significant short-term shifts—such as unexpected frontal passages or model divergences—have emerged in the latest runs, keeping trader focus on the 16°C threshold as the most likely resolution outcome while allowing modest upside for slight warming.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$2,801종료일
2026.06.15마켓 개설일
Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ET**Current forecasts from authoritative sources like the BBC and UK Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 16°C for Cape Town on June 15, 2026, under mostly sunny conditions with moderate south-easterly breezes.** This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 16°C (49.5% implied probability) and supports the secondary chance for 17°C (27%). Cape Town's winter temperatures are moderated by the cold Benguela Current and Atlantic influence, which typically keep June highs in the 15–18°C range per long-term climatology, rarely exceeding 20°C or dropping below 14°C without strong cold fronts. Recent model consensus shows stable high-pressure ridging with light winds and minimal cloud cover, favoring the upper end of the seasonal average rather than cooler maritime air intrusions. No significant short-term shifts—such as unexpected frontal passages or model divergences—have emerged in the latest runs, keeping trader focus on the 16°C threshold as the most likely resolution outcome while allowing modest upside for slight warming.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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