A passing cold front is the dominant driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 80–83°F highs for Dallas on June 15, with those bins each at 21.5%. National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate post-frontal northeasterly flow will limit daytime heating after Saturday–Sunday showers, keeping temperatures well below the seasonal 90–93°F climatological average. Key uncertainties differentiating the 78–79°F, 84–85°F, and adjacent outcomes center on the exact timing of frontal passage, residual cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift peak readings by a few degrees. Latest short-range model runs show only modest spread, supporting the balanced trader positioning as resolution nears.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Dallas on June 15?
82-83°F 26%
80-81°F 22%
84-85°F 17%
78-79°F 14%
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 26%
80-81°F 22%
84-85°F 17%
78-79°F 14%
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
A passing cold front is the dominant driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 80–83°F highs for Dallas on June 15, with those bins each at 21.5%. National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate post-frontal northeasterly flow will limit daytime heating after Saturday–Sunday showers, keeping temperatures well below the seasonal 90–93°F climatological average. Key uncertainties differentiating the 78–79°F, 84–85°F, and adjacent outcomes center on the exact timing of frontal passage, residual cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift peak readings by a few degrees. Latest short-range model runs show only modest spread, supporting the balanced trader positioning as resolution nears.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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