Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a low-pressure trough and monsoon influence will bring heavy showers and squally thunderstorms to Hong Kong on June 14, limiting the daily maximum to the 26–30°C range under extensive cloud cover and high humidity. Seasonal outlooks project above-normal June temperatures overall due to long-term warming trends, yet the specific synoptic pattern today favors the 29°C and 30°C outcomes that dominate market-implied odds. Model consensus and climatological analogs support trader emphasis on this narrow band, as persistent rain makes extremes above 31°C unlikely while brief clear spells could reach 30°C. Updated HKO briefings and radar trends through the afternoon represent the next key data points that could shift resolution probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 14일 홍콩에서 가장 높은 온도는?
29°C 59%
30°C 36%
31°C 4.1%
32°C <1%
$135,639 거래량
$135,639 거래량
23°C 이하
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
59%
30°C
36%
31°C
4%
32°C
<1%
33°C 이상
<1%
29°C 59%
30°C 36%
31°C 4.1%
32°C <1%
$135,639 거래량
$135,639 거래량
23°C 이하
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
59%
30°C
36%
31°C
4%
32°C
<1%
33°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a low-pressure trough and monsoon influence will bring heavy showers and squally thunderstorms to Hong Kong on June 14, limiting the daily maximum to the 26–30°C range under extensive cloud cover and high humidity. Seasonal outlooks project above-normal June temperatures overall due to long-term warming trends, yet the specific synoptic pattern today favors the 29°C and 30°C outcomes that dominate market-implied odds. Model consensus and climatological analogs support trader emphasis on this narrow band, as persistent rain makes extremes above 31°C unlikely while brief clear spells could reach 30°C. Updated HKO briefings and radar trends through the afternoon represent the next key data points that could shift resolution probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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