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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?

icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?

6월 12

6월 13

6월 14

6월 15

6월 12

6월 13

6월 14

6월 15

29°C 43%

28°C 28%

30°C 23%

31°C 5.9%

Polymarket
신규

$36,898 거래량

29°C 43%

28°C 28%

30°C 23%

31°C 5.9%

Polymarket
신규

$36,898 거래량

23°C or below

$934 거래량

<1%

24°C

$298 거래량

<1%

25°C

$2,040 거래량

<1%

26°C

$2,926 거래량

<1%

27°C

$17,576 거래량

<1%

28°C

$3,571 거래량

28%

29°C

$3,647 거래량

43%

30°C

$3,018 거래량

23%

31°C

$2,541 거래량

6%

32°C

$1,426 거래량

1%

33°C or higher

$1,130 거래량

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and other models point to a highest temperature on June 15 of 28–30°C under an active southwest monsoon and trough of low pressure.** This pattern is driving unsettled conditions with showers or thunderstorms expected, which typically limit daytime heating and keep maximums near or slightly below seasonal averages. Current model consensus and official outlooks show daily highs in the 26–30°C range, with rain reducing solar heating and preventing stronger warming. Historical June climatology in Hong Kong features average highs near 30–31°C, but the imminent wet weather introduces downward pressure on temperatures. Traders have concentrated probability on 28–30°C because these align directly with the latest short-range guidance, while higher outcomes like 31°C+ remain low-probability given the suppressed instability. Updated forecasts and any changes in monsoon strength will be the key near-term drivers for this market.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$36,898
종료일
2026.06.15
마켓 개설일
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and other models point to a highest temperature on June 15 of 28–30°C under an active southwest monsoon and trough of low pressure.** This pattern is driving unsettled conditions with showers or thunderstorms expected, which typically limit daytime heating and keep maximums near or slightly below seasonal averages. Current model consensus and official outlooks show daily highs in the 26–30°C range, with rain reducing solar heating and preventing stronger warming. Historical June climatology in Hong Kong features average highs near 30–31°C, but the imminent wet weather introduces downward pressure on temperatures. Traders have concentrated probability on 28–30°C because these align directly with the latest short-range guidance, while higher outcomes like 31°C+ remain low-probability given the suppressed instability. Updated forecasts and any changes in monsoon strength will be the key near-term drivers for this market.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$36,898
종료일
2026.06.15
마켓 개설일
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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자주 묻는 질문

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?"은 11개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 43%의 "29°C"이며, 이어서 28%의 "28°C"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 43¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 43%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?"은 총 $36.9K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Jun 13, 2026에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 11개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?"의 현재 유력 후보는 43%의 "29°C"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 43%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 28%의 "28°C"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.