Recent forecasts from KNMI and ECMWF models indicate a modest high of 17–18°C in Amsterdam on June 14, 2026, driven by moderate westerly flow off the cooler North Sea, variable cloud cover, and light showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with early-summer climatology, where average maxima reach about 19°C but often fall short under unsettled patterns. Trader consensus reflected in the 50.5% implied probability for 17°C and 34% for 18°C incorporates the latest model runs showing limited potential for stronger insolation or southerly advection that could push readings higher. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded at the Amsterdam station, with any late-day clearing or model shifts remaining key variables before final verification.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 14?
17°C 61%
18°C 25%
16°C 13.4%
19°C 2.9%
$21,971 거래량
$21,971 거래량
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
13%
17°C
61%
18°C
25%
19°C
3%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
17°C 61%
18°C 25%
16°C 13.4%
19°C 2.9%
$21,971 거래량
$21,971 거래량
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
13%
17°C
61%
18°C
25%
19°C
3%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 12, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from KNMI and ECMWF models indicate a modest high of 17–18°C in Amsterdam on June 14, 2026, driven by moderate westerly flow off the cooler North Sea, variable cloud cover, and light showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with early-summer climatology, where average maxima reach about 19°C but often fall short under unsettled patterns. Trader consensus reflected in the 50.5% implied probability for 17°C and 34% for 18°C incorporates the latest model runs showing limited potential for stronger insolation or southerly advection that could push readings higher. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded at the Amsterdam station, with any late-day clearing or model shifts remaining key variables before final verification.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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