Recent meteorological forecasts indicate that persistent cloud cover, scattered thundery showers, and moderate westerly flow are capping daytime heating in Warsaw on June 14, supporting market-implied probabilities centered on a 15–16°C high. These conditions reduce surface insolation and promote evaporative cooling, while the maritime air mass limits advection of warmer continental air. Ensemble model spreads and timing uncertainties around shower development differentiate the closely matched 15°C and 16°C outcomes, with any earlier clearing potentially allowing brief warming toward 17°C. Surface observations and updated runs from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology will refine the exact maximum as the day advances.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 14일 바르샤바에서 가장 높은 온도는?
16°C 44%
15°C 35%
17°C 16%
14°C 6.6%
$23,939 거래량
$23,939 거래량
10°C 이하
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
7%
15°C
35%
16°C
44%
17°C
16%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C 이상
1%
16°C 44%
15°C 35%
17°C 16%
14°C 6.6%
$23,939 거래량
$23,939 거래량
10°C 이하
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
7%
15°C
35%
16°C
44%
17°C
16%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C 이상
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent meteorological forecasts indicate that persistent cloud cover, scattered thundery showers, and moderate westerly flow are capping daytime heating in Warsaw on June 14, supporting market-implied probabilities centered on a 15–16°C high. These conditions reduce surface insolation and promote evaporative cooling, while the maritime air mass limits advection of warmer continental air. Ensemble model spreads and timing uncertainties around shower development differentiate the closely matched 15°C and 16°C outcomes, with any earlier clearing potentially allowing brief warming toward 17°C. Surface observations and updated runs from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology will refine the exact maximum as the day advances.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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