Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a cooler-than-average air mass over Warsaw on June 15, 2026, with expected maximum temperatures centered around 17–18°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 45.5% and 31.5% implied probability. This positioning stems from persistent cloud cover, light precipitation, and westerly flow limiting daytime heating below the typical June high of 22°C. Model consensus shows modest warming potential limited by these conditions, while historical analogs for mid-June under similar synoptic patterns rarely exceed 19°C. Traders are monitoring final model updates and observational data for any shifts in the thermal ridge or frontal passage that could alter the daily maximum before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 15일 바르샤바에서 가장 높은 온도는?
6월 15일 바르샤바에서 가장 높은 온도는?
18°C 46%
17°C 32%
19°C 8%
16°C 7%
신규
신규
2026.06.15
10°C 이하
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
7%
17°C
32%
18°C
46%
19°C
8%
20°C 이상
4%
18°C 46%
17°C 32%
19°C 8%
16°C 7%
신규
신규
2026.06.15
10°C 이하
$415 거래량
<1%
11°C
$33 거래량
<1%
12°C
$22 거래량
<1%
13°C
$18 거래량
<1%
14°C
$365 거래량
1%
15°C
$606 거래량
2%
16°C
$790 거래량
7%
17°C
$296 거래량
32%
18°C
$621 거래량
46%
19°C
$261 거래량
8%
20°C 이상
$618 거래량
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a cooler-than-average air mass over Warsaw on June 15, 2026, with expected maximum temperatures centered around 17–18°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 45.5% and 31.5% implied probability. This positioning stems from persistent cloud cover, light precipitation, and westerly flow limiting daytime heating below the typical June high of 22°C. Model consensus shows modest warming potential limited by these conditions, while historical analogs for mid-June under similar synoptic patterns rarely exceed 19°C. Traders are monitoring final model updates and observational data for any shifts in the thermal ridge or frontal passage that could alter the daily maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$3,894종료일
2026.06.15마켓 개설일
Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a cooler-than-average air mass over Warsaw on June 15, 2026, with expected maximum temperatures centered around 17–18°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 45.5% and 31.5% implied probability. This positioning stems from persistent cloud cover, light precipitation, and westerly flow limiting daytime heating below the typical June high of 22°C. Model consensus shows modest warming potential limited by these conditions, while historical analogs for mid-June under similar synoptic patterns rarely exceed 19°C. Traders are monitoring final model updates and observational data for any shifts in the thermal ridge or frontal passage that could alter the daily maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$3,894종료일
2026.06.15마켓 개설일
Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a cooler-than-average air mass over Warsaw on June 15, 2026, with expected maximum temperatures centered around 17–18°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 45.5% and 31.5% implied probability. This positioning stems from persistent cloud cover, light precipitation, and westerly flow limiting daytime heating below the typical June high of 22°C. Model consensus shows modest warming potential limited by these conditions, while historical analogs for mid-June under similar synoptic patterns rarely exceed 19°C. Traders are monitoring final model updates and observational data for any shifts in the thermal ridge or frontal passage that could alter the daily maximum before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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