Official PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila project a June 16 maximum of 34°C with a 30% rain chance, driven by the southwest monsoon that typically moderates daytime peaks while sustaining high humidity. Recent model runs and agency briefings cluster expected highs between 33–34°C, consistent with climatological June averages near 32°C and limited intensification potential from scattered showers. Traders assign the highest implied probability (37.5%) to 34°C because it aligns directly with the latest official guidance; 33°C and 35°C each sit at 24% amid minor forecast spreads from differing model solutions. Resolution hinges on the precise daily maximum recorded at official stations, with cloud cover and timing of any convection posing the main variables that could shift the outcome by one degree.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Manila on June 16?
34°C 38%
33°C 24%
35°C 21%
36°C 8%
28°C 이하
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
24%
34°C
38%
35°C
21%
36°C
8%
37°C
2%
38°C 이상
1%
34°C 38%
33°C 24%
35°C 21%
36°C 8%
28°C 이하
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
24%
34°C
38%
35°C
21%
36°C
8%
37°C
2%
38°C 이상
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official PAGASA outlooks for Metro Manila project a June 16 maximum of 34°C with a 30% rain chance, driven by the southwest monsoon that typically moderates daytime peaks while sustaining high humidity. Recent model runs and agency briefings cluster expected highs between 33–34°C, consistent with climatological June averages near 32°C and limited intensification potential from scattered showers. Traders assign the highest implied probability (37.5%) to 34°C because it aligns directly with the latest official guidance; 33°C and 35°C each sit at 24% amid minor forecast spreads from differing model solutions. Resolution hinges on the precise daily maximum recorded at official stations, with cloud cover and timing of any convection posing the main variables that could shift the outcome by one degree.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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