Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo show mostly cloudy skies on June 16 following rain on the 15th, which limits nighttime radiative cooling and supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–18 °C. Moist air masses typical of the early tsuyu season reduce the diurnal temperature range, while light winds and high humidity further moderate overnight lows compared with clear-sky conditions that could drop temperatures toward 16 °C or below. Ensemble model consensus places the minimum near the seasonal average of 19 °C but with uncertainty from shifting cloud cover and any frontal passages. Updated JMA and global model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 16일 도쿄에서 가장 낮은 기온?
18°C 39%
17°C 35%
16°C 14%
19°C 8%
13°C 이하
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
14%
17°C
35%
18°C
39%
19°C
8%
20°C
8%
21°C
7%
22°C
2%
23°C 이상
<1%
18°C 39%
17°C 35%
16°C 14%
19°C 8%
13°C 이하
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
14%
17°C
35%
18°C
39%
19°C
8%
20°C
8%
21°C
7%
22°C
2%
23°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo show mostly cloudy skies on June 16 following rain on the 15th, which limits nighttime radiative cooling and supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–18 °C. Moist air masses typical of the early tsuyu season reduce the diurnal temperature range, while light winds and high humidity further moderate overnight lows compared with clear-sky conditions that could drop temperatures toward 16 °C or below. Ensemble model consensus places the minimum near the seasonal average of 19 °C but with uncertainty from shifting cloud cover and any frontal passages. Updated JMA and global model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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