Short-range forecast models for Wellington show a likely transition from current mild northerly flow to cooler southerly winds around June 16, keeping daytime maxima near the June climatological average of 13°C. Ensemble spreads from agencies such as MetService and NIWA place the highest temperature most often at 12–13°C, with light rain or showers limiting solar heating and reinforcing modest values. The tight market split between these two outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in the exact timing and intensity of the frontal passage, while lower-probability tails (11°C or 14°C+) align with possible stronger southerlies or brief clearer intervals. Traders are weighting the consensus guidance from official numerical weather prediction runs against historical winter variability in the region.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Wellington on June 16?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 16?
13°C 38%
12°C 36%
11°C 18%
14°C 5.2%
신규
신규
2026.06.16
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
4%
11°C
18%
12°C
36%
13°C
38%
14°C
5%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 38%
12°C 36%
11°C 18%
14°C 5.2%
신규
신규
2026.06.16
7°C or below
$126 거래량
<1%
8°C
$72 거래량
<1%
9°C
$59 거래량
1%
10°C
$113 거래량
4%
11°C
$271 거래량
18%
12°C
$385 거래량
36%
13°C
$813 거래량
38%
14°C
$1,368 거래량
5%
15°C
$372 거래량
3%
16°C
$31 거래량
1%
17°C or higher
$115 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models for Wellington show a likely transition from current mild northerly flow to cooler southerly winds around June 16, keeping daytime maxima near the June climatological average of 13°C. Ensemble spreads from agencies such as MetService and NIWA place the highest temperature most often at 12–13°C, with light rain or showers limiting solar heating and reinforcing modest values. The tight market split between these two outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in the exact timing and intensity of the frontal passage, while lower-probability tails (11°C or 14°C+) align with possible stronger southerlies or brief clearer intervals. Traders are weighting the consensus guidance from official numerical weather prediction runs against historical winter variability in the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$3,689종료일
2026.06.16마켓 개설일
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models for Wellington show a likely transition from current mild northerly flow to cooler southerly winds around June 16, keeping daytime maxima near the June climatological average of 13°C. Ensemble spreads from agencies such as MetService and NIWA place the highest temperature most often at 12–13°C, with light rain or showers limiting solar heating and reinforcing modest values. The tight market split between these two outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in the exact timing and intensity of the frontal passage, while lower-probability tails (11°C or 14°C+) align with possible stronger southerlies or brief clearer intervals. Traders are weighting the consensus guidance from official numerical weather prediction runs against historical winter variability in the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$3,689종료일
2026.06.16마켓 개설일
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETShort-range forecast models for Wellington show a likely transition from current mild northerly flow to cooler southerly winds around June 16, keeping daytime maxima near the June climatological average of 13°C. Ensemble spreads from agencies such as MetService and NIWA place the highest temperature most often at 12–13°C, with light rain or showers limiting solar heating and reinforcing modest values. The tight market split between these two outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in the exact timing and intensity of the frontal passage, while lower-probability tails (11°C or 14°C+) align with possible stronger southerlies or brief clearer intervals. Traders are weighting the consensus guidance from official numerical weather prediction runs against historical winter variability in the region.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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