Current numerical weather models from the UK Met Office, BBC, and timeanddate.com converge on a maximum of 33–34 °C for Madrid on 16 June under clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and a stable high-pressure regime that favors daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation. This places the outcome slightly above the long-term June average high of ~29–30 °C while remaining well below record levels. The preceding late-May heatwave, which pushed Iberian temperatures several degrees above normal, has eased, leaving residual warm air advection that supports the elevated but not extreme readings now priced by traders. Updated model runs and AEMET briefings in the next 24–48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities between the leading 32–34 °C bins.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Madrid on June 16?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 16?
33°C 44%
34°C 27%
32°C 24%
31°C 6%
신규
신규
2026.06.16
30°C or below
4%
31°C
6%
32°C
24%
33°C
44%
34°C
27%
35°C
4%
36°C
<1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 44%
34°C 27%
32°C 24%
31°C 6%
신규
신규
2026.06.16
30°C or below
$173 거래량
4%
31°C
$175 거래량
6%
32°C
$284 거래량
24%
33°C
$359 거래량
44%
34°C
$208 거래량
27%
35°C
$84 거래량
4%
36°C
$57 거래량
<1%
37°C
$634 거래량
1%
38°C
$408 거래량
<1%
39°C
$371 거래량
<1%
40°C or higher
$456 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models from the UK Met Office, BBC, and timeanddate.com converge on a maximum of 33–34 °C for Madrid on 16 June under clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and a stable high-pressure regime that favors daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation. This places the outcome slightly above the long-term June average high of ~29–30 °C while remaining well below record levels. The preceding late-May heatwave, which pushed Iberian temperatures several degrees above normal, has eased, leaving residual warm air advection that supports the elevated but not extreme readings now priced by traders. Updated model runs and AEMET briefings in the next 24–48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities between the leading 32–34 °C bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$2,953종료일
2026.06.16마켓 개설일
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models from the UK Met Office, BBC, and timeanddate.com converge on a maximum of 33–34 °C for Madrid on 16 June under clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and a stable high-pressure regime that favors daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation. This places the outcome slightly above the long-term June average high of ~29–30 °C while remaining well below record levels. The preceding late-May heatwave, which pushed Iberian temperatures several degrees above normal, has eased, leaving residual warm air advection that supports the elevated but not extreme readings now priced by traders. Updated model runs and AEMET briefings in the next 24–48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities between the leading 32–34 °C bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$2,953종료일
2026.06.16마켓 개설일
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETCurrent numerical weather models from the UK Met Office, BBC, and timeanddate.com converge on a maximum of 33–34 °C for Madrid on 16 June under clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and a stable high-pressure regime that favors daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation. This places the outcome slightly above the long-term June average high of ~29–30 °C while remaining well below record levels. The preceding late-May heatwave, which pushed Iberian temperatures several degrees above normal, has eased, leaving residual warm air advection that supports the elevated but not extreme readings now priced by traders. Updated model runs and AEMET briefings in the next 24–48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities between the leading 32–34 °C bins.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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