Recent model consensus from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather places Madrid's maximum temperature near 34°C under partly cloudy skies with a modest chance of thundershowers, creating uncertainty over whether peak readings will reach or exceed 35°C before any convective cooling. June climatology shows typical highs around 28–29°C, so current conditions reflect above-average warmth from a stable subtropical ridge, yet localized shower development could cap the daily extreme by 1–2°C. With market-implied odds nearly even between 34°C and 35°C, traders appear focused on the narrow margin between official station readings and the precise timing of any afternoon instability, as updated forecasts or real-time observations from AEMET or airport stations could quickly shift the resolution outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Madrid on June 14?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 14?
35°C 57%
34°C 40%
36°C 4.7%
37°C <1%
$60,906 거래량
$60,906 거래량
2026.06.14
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
40%
35°C
57%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 57%
34°C 40%
36°C 4.7%
37°C <1%
$60,906 거래량
$60,906 거래량
2026.06.14
31°C or below
$3,971 거래량
<1%
32°C
$7,697 거래량
<1%
33°C
$10,510 거래량
<1%
34°C
$8,666 거래량
40%
35°C
$11,198 거래량
57%
36°C
$10,862 거래량
5%
37°C
$5,716 거래량
1%
38°C
$1,830 거래량
<1%
39°C
$564 거래량
<1%
40°C
$422 거래량
<1%
41°C or higher
$417 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather places Madrid's maximum temperature near 34°C under partly cloudy skies with a modest chance of thundershowers, creating uncertainty over whether peak readings will reach or exceed 35°C before any convective cooling. June climatology shows typical highs around 28–29°C, so current conditions reflect above-average warmth from a stable subtropical ridge, yet localized shower development could cap the daily extreme by 1–2°C. With market-implied odds nearly even between 34°C and 35°C, traders appear focused on the narrow margin between official station readings and the precise timing of any afternoon instability, as updated forecasts or real-time observations from AEMET or airport stations could quickly shift the resolution outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
거래량
$60,906종료일
2026.06.14마켓 개설일
Jun 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather places Madrid's maximum temperature near 34°C under partly cloudy skies with a modest chance of thundershowers, creating uncertainty over whether peak readings will reach or exceed 35°C before any convective cooling. June climatology shows typical highs around 28–29°C, so current conditions reflect above-average warmth from a stable subtropical ridge, yet localized shower development could cap the daily extreme by 1–2°C. With market-implied odds nearly even between 34°C and 35°C, traders appear focused on the narrow margin between official station readings and the precise timing of any afternoon instability, as updated forecasts or real-time observations from AEMET or airport stations could quickly shift the resolution outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$60,906종료일
2026.06.14마켓 개설일
Jun 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources including timeanddate and AccuWeather places Madrid's maximum temperature near 34°C under partly cloudy skies with a modest chance of thundershowers, creating uncertainty over whether peak readings will reach or exceed 35°C before any convective cooling. June climatology shows typical highs around 28–29°C, so current conditions reflect above-average warmth from a stable subtropical ridge, yet localized shower development could cap the daily extreme by 1–2°C. With market-implied odds nearly even between 34°C and 35°C, traders appear focused on the narrow margin between official station readings and the precise timing of any afternoon instability, as updated forecasts or real-time observations from AEMET or airport stations could quickly shift the resolution outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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