Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for June 14, 2026, center on a minimum of 26°C under an active southwest monsoon and low-pressure trough, which sustain extensive cloud cover, high humidity (80–95%), and scattered heavy showers with squally thunderstorms. These conditions limit nocturnal radiational cooling and keep overnight lows anchored near or slightly above the seasonal average, consistent with the market’s leading 26°C outcome (47% implied probability). Model consensus and recent observations show limited scope for a 25°C dip if showers intensify overnight, while clearer breaks could allow 27°C; lower or higher extremes remain improbable given the persistent moisture and suppressed diurnal range.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 14일 홍콩 최저 기온?
6월 14일 홍콩 최저 기온?
26°C 47%
27°C 25%
25°C 15%
28°C 14.0%
신규
$18,036 거래량
신규
$18,036 거래량
2026.06.14
22°C 이하
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
5%
25°C
15%
26°C
47%
27°C
25%
28°C
14%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C 이상
<1%
26°C 47%
27°C 25%
25°C 15%
28°C 14.0%
신규
$18,036 거래량
신규
$18,036 거래량
2026.06.14
22°C 이하
$1,291 거래량
<1%
23°C
$1,549 거래량
<1%
24°C
$593 거래량
5%
25°C
$693 거래량
15%
26°C
$842 거래량
47%
27°C
$1,075 거래량
25%
28°C
$4,514 거래량
14%
29°C
$4,769 거래량
<1%
30°C
$505 거래량
<1%
31°C
$462 거래량
<1%
32°C 이상
$1,755 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for June 14, 2026, center on a minimum of 26°C under an active southwest monsoon and low-pressure trough, which sustain extensive cloud cover, high humidity (80–95%), and scattered heavy showers with squally thunderstorms. These conditions limit nocturnal radiational cooling and keep overnight lows anchored near or slightly above the seasonal average, consistent with the market’s leading 26°C outcome (47% implied probability). Model consensus and recent observations show limited scope for a 25°C dip if showers intensify overnight, while clearer breaks could allow 27°C; lower or higher extremes remain improbable given the persistent moisture and suppressed diurnal range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
거래량
$18,036종료일
2026.06.14마켓 개설일
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for June 14, 2026, center on a minimum of 26°C under an active southwest monsoon and low-pressure trough, which sustain extensive cloud cover, high humidity (80–95%), and scattered heavy showers with squally thunderstorms. These conditions limit nocturnal radiational cooling and keep overnight lows anchored near or slightly above the seasonal average, consistent with the market’s leading 26°C outcome (47% implied probability). Model consensus and recent observations show limited scope for a 25°C dip if showers intensify overnight, while clearer breaks could allow 27°C; lower or higher extremes remain improbable given the persistent moisture and suppressed diurnal range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$18,036종료일
2026.06.14마켓 개설일
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for June 14, 2026, center on a minimum of 26°C under an active southwest monsoon and low-pressure trough, which sustain extensive cloud cover, high humidity (80–95%), and scattered heavy showers with squally thunderstorms. These conditions limit nocturnal radiational cooling and keep overnight lows anchored near or slightly above the seasonal average, consistent with the market’s leading 26°C outcome (47% implied probability). Model consensus and recent observations show limited scope for a 25°C dip if showers intensify overnight, while clearer breaks could allow 27°C; lower or higher extremes remain improbable given the persistent moisture and suppressed diurnal range.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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