Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from global models show tight clustering around 13–15°C for Buenos Aires’ June 15 maximum, with the spread driven by uncertain timing of a weak frontal passage and variable northerly flow off the Río de la Plata estuary. Onshore advection of milder maritime air can add 1–2°C under high pressure, while clearer skies and light winds favor radiational cooling toward the lower end of the range. June climatology places average daily highs near 15°C, so the market-implied 37 % probability on 14°C and 28 % on 15°C reflects this narrow but decisive forecast uncertainty ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 15일 부에노스아이레스에서 가장 높은 온도는?
6월 15일 부에노스아이레스에서 가장 높은 온도는?
14°C 37%
15°C 25%
13°C 19%
12°C 7.8%
신규
신규
2026.06.15
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
8%
13°C
19%
14°C
37%
15°C
25%
16°C
6%
17°C or higher
1%
14°C 37%
15°C 25%
13°C 19%
12°C 7.8%
신규
신규
2026.06.15
7°C or below
$15 거래량
<1%
8°C
$15 거래량
<1%
9°C
$10 거래량
<1%
10°C
$50 거래량
<1%
11°C
$88 거래량
2%
12°C
$174 거래량
8%
13°C
$330 거래량
19%
14°C
$64 거래량
37%
15°C
$455 거래량
25%
16°C
$238 거래량
6%
17°C or higher
$30 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from global models show tight clustering around 13–15°C for Buenos Aires’ June 15 maximum, with the spread driven by uncertain timing of a weak frontal passage and variable northerly flow off the Río de la Plata estuary. Onshore advection of milder maritime air can add 1–2°C under high pressure, while clearer skies and light winds favor radiational cooling toward the lower end of the range. June climatology places average daily highs near 15°C, so the market-implied 37 % probability on 14°C and 28 % on 15°C reflects this narrow but decisive forecast uncertainty ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
거래량
$1,205종료일
2026.06.15마켓 개설일
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from global models show tight clustering around 13–15°C for Buenos Aires’ June 15 maximum, with the spread driven by uncertain timing of a weak frontal passage and variable northerly flow off the Río de la Plata estuary. Onshore advection of milder maritime air can add 1–2°C under high pressure, while clearer skies and light winds favor radiational cooling toward the lower end of the range. June climatology places average daily highs near 15°C, so the market-implied 37 % probability on 14°C and 28 % on 15°C reflects this narrow but decisive forecast uncertainty ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$1,205종료일
2026.06.15마켓 개설일
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent short-range ensemble forecasts from global models show tight clustering around 13–15°C for Buenos Aires’ June 15 maximum, with the spread driven by uncertain timing of a weak frontal passage and variable northerly flow off the Río de la Plata estuary. Onshore advection of milder maritime air can add 1–2°C under high pressure, while clearer skies and light winds favor radiational cooling toward the lower end of the range. June climatology places average daily highs near 15°C, so the market-implied 37 % probability on 14°C and 28 % on 15°C reflects this narrow but decisive forecast uncertainty ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문