Recent ensemble forecasts from major numerical models, including ECMWF and GFS runs valid through mid-June 2026, show Ankara under a stable subtropical ridge with light winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting daily maxima clustering around 28–29°C on June 16. This consensus explains the near-even market weighting between those two outcomes, as historical June averages near 28°C and current observational trends show little deviation. Minor uncertainties remain from possible small shifts in ridge position or boundary-layer mixing that could add or subtract 1°C, while drier conditions reduce the chance of lower readings. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 16일 앙카라에서 가장 높은 온도는?
29°C 39%
28°C 36%
27°C 15%
26°C 4.2%
23°C 이하
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
15%
28°C
36%
29°C
39%
30°C
4%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C 이상
1%
29°C 39%
28°C 36%
27°C 15%
26°C 4.2%
23°C 이하
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
15%
28°C
36%
29°C
39%
30°C
4%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C 이상
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from major numerical models, including ECMWF and GFS runs valid through mid-June 2026, show Ankara under a stable subtropical ridge with light winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting daily maxima clustering around 28–29°C on June 16. This consensus explains the near-even market weighting between those two outcomes, as historical June averages near 28°C and current observational trends show little deviation. Minor uncertainties remain from possible small shifts in ridge position or boundary-layer mixing that could add or subtract 1°C, while drier conditions reduce the chance of lower readings. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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