**Trader consensus heavily favors a 26°C daily maximum in Seoul on June 14, reflecting the latest observational data and short-range model guidance indicating limited daytime heating.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate southwesterly flow have suppressed peak insolation and surface warming, keeping temperatures below the early-June climatological average of 27–28°C. Official Korea Meteorological Administration updates and ensemble forecasts show the daytime high stabilizing near 26°C, with only modest upside risk if clearing occurs earlier than expected. Lower-probability outcomes at 27°C or above align with scenarios of stronger subsidence or delayed precipitation, while sub-25°C readings remain unlikely given current dew points and radiative conditions. Resolution hinges on the official KMA 24-hour maximum recorded through 5 PM local time.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 14일 서울에서 가장 높은 기온?
26°C 88%
27°C 11%
28°C <1%
29°C 이상 <1%
$147,922 거래량
$147,922 거래량
19°C 이하
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
88%
27°C
11%
28°C
1%
29°C 이상
<1%
26°C 88%
27°C 11%
28°C <1%
29°C 이상 <1%
$147,922 거래량
$147,922 거래량
19°C 이하
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
88%
27°C
11%
28°C
1%
29°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus heavily favors a 26°C daily maximum in Seoul on June 14, reflecting the latest observational data and short-range model guidance indicating limited daytime heating.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate southwesterly flow have suppressed peak insolation and surface warming, keeping temperatures below the early-June climatological average of 27–28°C. Official Korea Meteorological Administration updates and ensemble forecasts show the daytime high stabilizing near 26°C, with only modest upside risk if clearing occurs earlier than expected. Lower-probability outcomes at 27°C or above align with scenarios of stronger subsidence or delayed precipitation, while sub-25°C readings remain unlikely given current dew points and radiative conditions. Resolution hinges on the official KMA 24-hour maximum recorded through 5 PM local time.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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