Recent KMA short-range forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate Seoul's June 15 daytime high will most likely fall between 28–30 °C at the official Incheon station, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those three outcomes. Persistent high pressure and light easterly winds are expected to limit cloud cover and allow strong daytime heating, yet variable humidity and possible late-day sea-breeze effects introduce enough uncertainty that forecasters cannot confidently distinguish among the three leading values. Historical mid-June averages near 27 °C and the narrow spread of current guidance keep lower or higher extremes at low probability. Updated KMA and global model runs later today will be the next key catalyst for any shift in trader positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Seoul on June 15?
Highest temperature in Seoul on June 15?
29°C 37%
28°C 30%
30°C 24%
27°C 9%
신규
$41,303 거래량
신규
$41,303 거래량
2026.06.15
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
9%
28°C
30%
29°C
37%
30°C
24%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
1%
29°C 37%
28°C 30%
30°C 24%
27°C 9%
신규
$41,303 거래량
신규
$41,303 거래량
2026.06.15
22°C or below
$1,984 거래량
<1%
23°C
$1,810 거래량
<1%
24°C
$2,616 거래량
<1%
25°C
$5,547 거래량
1%
26°C
$7,826 거래량
4%
27°C
$4,461 거래량
9%
28°C
$2,467 거래량
30%
29°C
$3,903 거래량
37%
30°C
$4,292 거래량
24%
31°C
$2,806 거래량
3%
32°C or higher
$3,750 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA short-range forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate Seoul's June 15 daytime high will most likely fall between 28–30 °C at the official Incheon station, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those three outcomes. Persistent high pressure and light easterly winds are expected to limit cloud cover and allow strong daytime heating, yet variable humidity and possible late-day sea-breeze effects introduce enough uncertainty that forecasters cannot confidently distinguish among the three leading values. Historical mid-June averages near 27 °C and the narrow spread of current guidance keep lower or higher extremes at low probability. Updated KMA and global model runs later today will be the next key catalyst for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
거래량
$41,303종료일
2026.06.15마켓 개설일
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA short-range forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate Seoul's June 15 daytime high will most likely fall between 28–30 °C at the official Incheon station, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those three outcomes. Persistent high pressure and light easterly winds are expected to limit cloud cover and allow strong daytime heating, yet variable humidity and possible late-day sea-breeze effects introduce enough uncertainty that forecasters cannot confidently distinguish among the three leading values. Historical mid-June averages near 27 °C and the narrow spread of current guidance keep lower or higher extremes at low probability. Updated KMA and global model runs later today will be the next key catalyst for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$41,303종료일
2026.06.15마켓 개설일
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETRecent KMA short-range forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate Seoul's June 15 daytime high will most likely fall between 28–30 °C at the official Incheon station, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those three outcomes. Persistent high pressure and light easterly winds are expected to limit cloud cover and allow strong daytime heating, yet variable humidity and possible late-day sea-breeze effects introduce enough uncertainty that forecasters cannot confidently distinguish among the three leading values. Historical mid-June averages near 27 °C and the narrow spread of current guidance keep lower or higher extremes at low probability. Updated KMA and global model runs later today will be the next key catalyst for any shift in trader positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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