Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate a cooler air mass arriving over the Northeast on northwest flow, supporting minimum temperatures in central NYC centered on the mid-60s Fahrenheit for June 15. This aligns with the market’s leading 66-67°F bin, reflecting June climatology where average overnight lows range 62–67°F alongside typical early-summer radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Shorter-range guidance shows limited spread between ensembles, with dew points and wind speeds moderating the potential for deeper drops below 64°F. Traders appear to weigh these stable model signals against residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects that could nudge readings one or two degrees higher. Updated National Weather Service and NOAA model runs expected overnight will provide the next key data point ahead of the overnight observation window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 15일 뉴욕에서 기온이 가장 낮으신가요?
6월 15일 뉴욕에서 기온이 가장 낮으신가요?
66-67°F 43%
68-69°F 16%
64-65°F 14%
70-71°F 7%
신규
신규
2026.06.15
55°F 이하
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
43%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
1%
74°F 이상
1%
66-67°F 43%
68-69°F 16%
64-65°F 14%
70-71°F 7%
신규
신규
2026.06.15
55°F 이하
$199 거래량
<1%
56-57°F
$1,277 거래량
<1%
58-59°F
$1,380 거래량
1%
60-61°F
$259 거래량
3%
62-63°F
$120 거래량
6%
64-65°F
$40 거래량
14%
66-67°F
$60 거래량
43%
68-69°F
$105 거래량
16%
70-71°F
$810 거래량
7%
72-73°F
$854 거래량
1%
74°F 이상
$454 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate a cooler air mass arriving over the Northeast on northwest flow, supporting minimum temperatures in central NYC centered on the mid-60s Fahrenheit for June 15. This aligns with the market’s leading 66-67°F bin, reflecting June climatology where average overnight lows range 62–67°F alongside typical early-summer radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Shorter-range guidance shows limited spread between ensembles, with dew points and wind speeds moderating the potential for deeper drops below 64°F. Traders appear to weigh these stable model signals against residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects that could nudge readings one or two degrees higher. Updated National Weather Service and NOAA model runs expected overnight will provide the next key data point ahead of the overnight observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
거래량
$5,557종료일
2026.06.15마켓 개설일
Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate a cooler air mass arriving over the Northeast on northwest flow, supporting minimum temperatures in central NYC centered on the mid-60s Fahrenheit for June 15. This aligns with the market’s leading 66-67°F bin, reflecting June climatology where average overnight lows range 62–67°F alongside typical early-summer radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Shorter-range guidance shows limited spread between ensembles, with dew points and wind speeds moderating the potential for deeper drops below 64°F. Traders appear to weigh these stable model signals against residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects that could nudge readings one or two degrees higher. Updated National Weather Service and NOAA model runs expected overnight will provide the next key data point ahead of the overnight observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$5,557종료일
2026.06.15마켓 개설일
Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ETRecent forecasts from global and regional models indicate a cooler air mass arriving over the Northeast on northwest flow, supporting minimum temperatures in central NYC centered on the mid-60s Fahrenheit for June 15. This aligns with the market’s leading 66-67°F bin, reflecting June climatology where average overnight lows range 62–67°F alongside typical early-summer radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Shorter-range guidance shows limited spread between ensembles, with dew points and wind speeds moderating the potential for deeper drops below 64°F. Traders appear to weigh these stable model signals against residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects that could nudge readings one or two degrees higher. Updated National Weather Service and NOAA model runs expected overnight will provide the next key data point ahead of the overnight observation window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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