Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service and AccuWeather point to a warm air mass and elevated dew points suppressing overnight radiative cooling, keeping the NYC minimum temperature in the mid-70s°F range on June 14. This setup, with southerly flow and possible cloud cover, has pushed the 74-75°F bin to a 35.5% market-implied probability as the leading outcome. Historical mid-June averages near 65-67°F highlight the anomaly, while recent observations of highs near 85-90°F and limited frontal passages reinforce trader consensus around these elevated thresholds. Upcoming evening updates from NOAA monitoring will refine any shifts from wind or humidity changes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 14일 뉴욕에서 가장 기온이 낮으신가요?
6월 14일 뉴욕에서 가장 기온이 낮으신가요?
72-73°F 27%
74-75°F 24%
76-77°F 17.2%
70-71°F 11%
신규
$11,258 거래량
신규
$11,258 거래량
2026.06.14
63°F 이하
<1%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F 이상
<1%
72-73°F 27%
74-75°F 24%
76-77°F 17.2%
70-71°F 11%
신규
$11,258 거래량
신규
$11,258 거래량
2026.06.14
63°F 이하
$1,792 거래량
<1%
64-65°F
$1,748 거래량
3%
66-67°F
$1,878 거래량
1%
68-69°F
$500 거래량
18%
70-71°F
$169 거래량
11%
72-73°F
$224 거래량
24%
74-75°F
$874 거래량
25%
76-77°F
$1,686 거래량
17%
78-79°F
$1,186 거래량
<1%
80-81°F
$976 거래량
<1%
82°F 이상
$775 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service and AccuWeather point to a warm air mass and elevated dew points suppressing overnight radiative cooling, keeping the NYC minimum temperature in the mid-70s°F range on June 14. This setup, with southerly flow and possible cloud cover, has pushed the 74-75°F bin to a 35.5% market-implied probability as the leading outcome. Historical mid-June averages near 65-67°F highlight the anomaly, while recent observations of highs near 85-90°F and limited frontal passages reinforce trader consensus around these elevated thresholds. Upcoming evening updates from NOAA monitoring will refine any shifts from wind or humidity changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
거래량
$11,258종료일
2026.06.14마켓 개설일
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service and AccuWeather point to a warm air mass and elevated dew points suppressing overnight radiative cooling, keeping the NYC minimum temperature in the mid-70s°F range on June 14. This setup, with southerly flow and possible cloud cover, has pushed the 74-75°F bin to a 35.5% market-implied probability as the leading outcome. Historical mid-June averages near 65-67°F highlight the anomaly, while recent observations of highs near 85-90°F and limited frontal passages reinforce trader consensus around these elevated thresholds. Upcoming evening updates from NOAA monitoring will refine any shifts from wind or humidity changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$11,258종료일
2026.06.14마켓 개설일
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETForecast models from sources like the National Weather Service and AccuWeather point to a warm air mass and elevated dew points suppressing overnight radiative cooling, keeping the NYC minimum temperature in the mid-70s°F range on June 14. This setup, with southerly flow and possible cloud cover, has pushed the 74-75°F bin to a 35.5% market-implied probability as the leading outcome. Historical mid-June averages near 65-67°F highlight the anomaly, while recent observations of highs near 85-90°F and limited frontal passages reinforce trader consensus around these elevated thresholds. Upcoming evening updates from NOAA monitoring will refine any shifts from wind or humidity changes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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