Recent model guidance from the National Weather Service and blended forecasts points to a high near 87°F in Austin on June 15 amid increasing moisture, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This pattern, tied to a passing disturbance and southerly flow with elevated dew points, has shifted trader sentiment toward the lower 80s bins despite June climatology favoring highs near 93°F. Key variables include storm timing and coverage, which can suppress maxima by several degrees through reduced insolation, versus any clearing that allows temperatures to reach the upper 80s or low 90s. Updated NWS briefings and morning model runs on June 15 will refine the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Austin on June 15?
Highest temperature in Austin on June 15?
82-83°F 25%
84-85°F 19%
86-87°F 13%
80-81°F 11%
신규
신규
2026.06.15
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
13%
88-89°F
8%
90-91°F
2%
92°F or higher
2%
82-83°F 25%
84-85°F 19%
86-87°F 13%
80-81°F 11%
신규
신규
2026.06.15
73°F or below
$0 거래량
<1%
74-75°F
$144 거래량
2%
76-77°F
$89 거래량
2%
78-79°F
$112 거래량
7%
80-81°F
$77 거래량
11%
82-83°F
$72 거래량
25%
84-85°F
$119 거래량
19%
86-87°F
$148 거래량
13%
88-89°F
$240 거래량
8%
90-91°F
$342 거래량
2%
92°F or higher
$1,044 거래량
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from the National Weather Service and blended forecasts points to a high near 87°F in Austin on June 15 amid increasing moisture, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This pattern, tied to a passing disturbance and southerly flow with elevated dew points, has shifted trader sentiment toward the lower 80s bins despite June climatology favoring highs near 93°F. Key variables include storm timing and coverage, which can suppress maxima by several degrees through reduced insolation, versus any clearing that allows temperatures to reach the upper 80s or low 90s. Updated NWS briefings and morning model runs on June 15 will refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
거래량
$1,941종료일
2026.06.15마켓 개설일
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from the National Weather Service and blended forecasts points to a high near 87°F in Austin on June 15 amid increasing moisture, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This pattern, tied to a passing disturbance and southerly flow with elevated dew points, has shifted trader sentiment toward the lower 80s bins despite June climatology favoring highs near 93°F. Key variables include storm timing and coverage, which can suppress maxima by several degrees through reduced insolation, versus any clearing that allows temperatures to reach the upper 80s or low 90s. Updated NWS briefings and morning model runs on June 15 will refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$1,941종료일
2026.06.15마켓 개설일
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent model guidance from the National Weather Service and blended forecasts points to a high near 87°F in Austin on June 15 amid increasing moisture, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This pattern, tied to a passing disturbance and southerly flow with elevated dew points, has shifted trader sentiment toward the lower 80s bins despite June climatology favoring highs near 93°F. Key variables include storm timing and coverage, which can suppress maxima by several degrees through reduced insolation, versus any clearing that allows temperatures to reach the upper 80s or low 90s. Updated NWS briefings and morning model runs on June 15 will refine the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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