Current short-term model guidance from NOAA and local meteorologists points to a highest temperature near 70°F at San Francisco International Airport on June 15, consistent with the market's leading 70-71°F bin. Persistent onshore flow and a moderate marine layer, reinforced by coastal upwelling of cooler Pacific waters, are expected to limit daytime heating despite a building ridge that favors partly sunny skies and reduced June Gloom fog. Subtle differences among the tightly clustered 68-73°F outcomes hinge on the exact timing of any afternoon wind shift or marine layer thinning, which can add or subtract 2-4°F. Historical June averages hover near 66-68°F, so this setup reflects modestly above-normal conditions without crossing into heat-wave thresholds. Updated NWS forecast discussions tomorrow morning will likely refine the final resolution range.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 15일 샌프란시스코에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
6월 15일 샌프란시스코에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
70-71°F 30%
68-69°F 22%
74-75°F 13%
72-73°F 13%
신규
신규
2026.06.15
65°F 이하
4%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
30%
72-73°F
13%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
3%
80~81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84°F 이상
<1%
70-71°F 30%
68-69°F 22%
74-75°F 13%
72-73°F 13%
신규
신규
2026.06.15
65°F 이하
$0 거래량
4%
66-67°F
$20 거래량
9%
68-69°F
$91 거래량
22%
70-71°F
$80 거래량
30%
72-73°F
$63 거래량
13%
74-75°F
$22 거래량
13%
76-77°F
$15 거래량
8%
78-79°F
$91 거래량
3%
80~81°F
$328 거래량
1%
82-83°F
$55 거래량
1%
84°F 이상
$5 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term model guidance from NOAA and local meteorologists points to a highest temperature near 70°F at San Francisco International Airport on June 15, consistent with the market's leading 70-71°F bin. Persistent onshore flow and a moderate marine layer, reinforced by coastal upwelling of cooler Pacific waters, are expected to limit daytime heating despite a building ridge that favors partly sunny skies and reduced June Gloom fog. Subtle differences among the tightly clustered 68-73°F outcomes hinge on the exact timing of any afternoon wind shift or marine layer thinning, which can add or subtract 2-4°F. Historical June averages hover near 66-68°F, so this setup reflects modestly above-normal conditions without crossing into heat-wave thresholds. Updated NWS forecast discussions tomorrow morning will likely refine the final resolution range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
거래량
$676종료일
2026.06.15마켓 개설일
Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term model guidance from NOAA and local meteorologists points to a highest temperature near 70°F at San Francisco International Airport on June 15, consistent with the market's leading 70-71°F bin. Persistent onshore flow and a moderate marine layer, reinforced by coastal upwelling of cooler Pacific waters, are expected to limit daytime heating despite a building ridge that favors partly sunny skies and reduced June Gloom fog. Subtle differences among the tightly clustered 68-73°F outcomes hinge on the exact timing of any afternoon wind shift or marine layer thinning, which can add or subtract 2-4°F. Historical June averages hover near 66-68°F, so this setup reflects modestly above-normal conditions without crossing into heat-wave thresholds. Updated NWS forecast discussions tomorrow morning will likely refine the final resolution range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$676종료일
2026.06.15마켓 개설일
Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ETCurrent short-term model guidance from NOAA and local meteorologists points to a highest temperature near 70°F at San Francisco International Airport on June 15, consistent with the market's leading 70-71°F bin. Persistent onshore flow and a moderate marine layer, reinforced by coastal upwelling of cooler Pacific waters, are expected to limit daytime heating despite a building ridge that favors partly sunny skies and reduced June Gloom fog. Subtle differences among the tightly clustered 68-73°F outcomes hinge on the exact timing of any afternoon wind shift or marine layer thinning, which can add or subtract 2-4°F. Historical June averages hover near 66-68°F, so this setup reflects modestly above-normal conditions without crossing into heat-wave thresholds. Updated NWS forecast discussions tomorrow morning will likely refine the final resolution range.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문