Traders have concentrated nearly two-thirds of implied probability on highs of 74–77°F for Chicago on June 15 because the latest forecast guidance from NWS and private models shows a daytime maximum in the low-to-mid 70s. Cooler-than-normal air behind a departing cold front, combined with increasing cloud cover and possible scattered showers, is suppressing temperatures several degrees below the long-term June 15 average high of 80.5°F. Ensemble spreads remain modest, supporting the narrow 76–77°F bin as the mode while limiting upside risk to the 78–79°F tier. Updated model runs and the official NWS point forecast expected overnight will determine whether probabilities shift further toward the current leading outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Chicago on June 15?
Highest temperature in Chicago on June 15?
76-77°F 40%
74-75°F 32%
78-79°F 16%
72-73°F 9%
신규
신규
2026.06.15
65°F 이하
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
32%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 40%
74-75°F 32%
78-79°F 16%
72-73°F 9%
신규
신규
2026.06.15
65°F 이하
$223 거래량
<1%
66-67°F
$269 거래량
<1%
68-69°F
$140 거래량
<1%
70-71°F
$718 거래량
3%
72-73°F
$739 거래량
9%
74-75°F
$457 거래량
32%
76-77°F
$308 거래량
40%
78-79°F
$296 거래량
16%
80-81°F
$196 거래량
4%
82-83°F
$629 거래량
1%
84°F or higher
$775 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have concentrated nearly two-thirds of implied probability on highs of 74–77°F for Chicago on June 15 because the latest forecast guidance from NWS and private models shows a daytime maximum in the low-to-mid 70s. Cooler-than-normal air behind a departing cold front, combined with increasing cloud cover and possible scattered showers, is suppressing temperatures several degrees below the long-term June 15 average high of 80.5°F. Ensemble spreads remain modest, supporting the narrow 76–77°F bin as the mode while limiting upside risk to the 78–79°F tier. Updated model runs and the official NWS point forecast expected overnight will determine whether probabilities shift further toward the current leading outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
거래량
$4,731종료일
2026.06.15마켓 개설일
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have concentrated nearly two-thirds of implied probability on highs of 74–77°F for Chicago on June 15 because the latest forecast guidance from NWS and private models shows a daytime maximum in the low-to-mid 70s. Cooler-than-normal air behind a departing cold front, combined with increasing cloud cover and possible scattered showers, is suppressing temperatures several degrees below the long-term June 15 average high of 80.5°F. Ensemble spreads remain modest, supporting the narrow 76–77°F bin as the mode while limiting upside risk to the 78–79°F tier. Updated model runs and the official NWS point forecast expected overnight will determine whether probabilities shift further toward the current leading outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$4,731종료일
2026.06.15마켓 개설일
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETTraders have concentrated nearly two-thirds of implied probability on highs of 74–77°F for Chicago on June 15 because the latest forecast guidance from NWS and private models shows a daytime maximum in the low-to-mid 70s. Cooler-than-normal air behind a departing cold front, combined with increasing cloud cover and possible scattered showers, is suppressing temperatures several degrees below the long-term June 15 average high of 80.5°F. Ensemble spreads remain modest, supporting the narrow 76–77°F bin as the mode while limiting upside risk to the 78–79°F tier. Updated model runs and the official NWS point forecast expected overnight will determine whether probabilities shift further toward the current leading outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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