Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate a cooler-than-normal air mass over the Front Range for June 15, 2026, driving the market's concentration on 78–81°F outcomes (combined ~58.5% implied probability). This reflects below-average 500-hPa heights, northeasterly flow, and potential afternoon cloud cover or scattered showers that limit daytime heating relative to the 83°F climatological normal. Traders weigh these factors against the seasonal outlook for above-average temperatures, but short-term observational data and model consensus currently favor the narrower 78–81°F range over higher bins, with resolution hinging on the final NWS forecast update and any last-minute convective development.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Denver on June 15?
Highest temperature in Denver on June 15?
78-79°F 31%
80-81°F 28%
76-77°F 9%
82-83°F 7.5%
신규
신규
2026.06.15
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
31%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
4%
88°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 31%
80-81°F 28%
76-77°F 9%
82-83°F 7.5%
신규
신규
2026.06.15
69°F or below
$5 거래량
<1%
70-71°F
$5 거래량
<1%
72-73°F
$54 거래량
2%
74-75°F
$46 거래량
3%
76-77°F
$0 거래량
9%
78-79°F
$77 거래량
31%
80-81°F
$28 거래량
28%
82-83°F
$22 거래량
8%
84-85°F
$52 거래량
5%
86-87°F
$210 거래량
4%
88°F or higher
$225 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate a cooler-than-normal air mass over the Front Range for June 15, 2026, driving the market's concentration on 78–81°F outcomes (combined ~58.5% implied probability). This reflects below-average 500-hPa heights, northeasterly flow, and potential afternoon cloud cover or scattered showers that limit daytime heating relative to the 83°F climatological normal. Traders weigh these factors against the seasonal outlook for above-average temperatures, but short-term observational data and model consensus currently favor the narrower 78–81°F range over higher bins, with resolution hinging on the final NWS forecast update and any last-minute convective development.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
거래량
$690종료일
2026.06.15마켓 개설일
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate a cooler-than-normal air mass over the Front Range for June 15, 2026, driving the market's concentration on 78–81°F outcomes (combined ~58.5% implied probability). This reflects below-average 500-hPa heights, northeasterly flow, and potential afternoon cloud cover or scattered showers that limit daytime heating relative to the 83°F climatological normal. Traders weigh these factors against the seasonal outlook for above-average temperatures, but short-term observational data and model consensus currently favor the narrower 78–81°F range over higher bins, with resolution hinging on the final NWS forecast update and any last-minute convective development.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$690종료일
2026.06.15마켓 개설일
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate a cooler-than-normal air mass over the Front Range for June 15, 2026, driving the market's concentration on 78–81°F outcomes (combined ~58.5% implied probability). This reflects below-average 500-hPa heights, northeasterly flow, and potential afternoon cloud cover or scattered showers that limit daytime heating relative to the 83°F climatological normal. Traders weigh these factors against the seasonal outlook for above-average temperatures, but short-term observational data and model consensus currently favor the narrower 78–81°F range over higher bins, with resolution hinging on the final NWS forecast update and any last-minute convective development.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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