Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a likely daily high of 24–26°C for Mexico City on June 15, aligning with the market's concentration of probability on those outcomes. This positioning reflects the transition into the wet season, when increased moisture and convective cloud development typically cap afternoon temperatures below the drier May peak, consistent with long-term climatology showing average June highs near 25°C. Short-range guidance highlights possible showers and moderate humidity that limit radiative heating, while historical analogs confirm rare excursions above 27°C this early in the month without strong subsidence. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 15일 멕시코시티에서 가장 높은 기온?
26°C 40%
25°C 29%
24°C 11%
27°C 9%
20°C 이하
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
11%
25°C
29%
26°C
40%
27°C
9%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C 이상
1%
26°C 40%
25°C 29%
24°C 11%
27°C 9%
20°C 이하
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
11%
25°C
29%
26°C
40%
27°C
9%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C 이상
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a likely daily high of 24–26°C for Mexico City on June 15, aligning with the market's concentration of probability on those outcomes. This positioning reflects the transition into the wet season, when increased moisture and convective cloud development typically cap afternoon temperatures below the drier May peak, consistent with long-term climatology showing average June highs near 25°C. Short-range guidance highlights possible showers and moderate humidity that limit radiative heating, while historical analogs confirm rare excursions above 27°C this early in the month without strong subsidence. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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