**Forecast consensus for Paris on June 14, 2026, centers on a maximum of 25–26°C under mostly clear, high-pressure conditions.** Multiple models, including Météo-France and European guidance, indicate daytime peaks in this narrow range after overnight lows near 13–16°C, consistent with slightly above-average early-June values (historical June highs average ~22–24°C). Light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover support efficient daytime heating without the strong advection needed for 27°C+ readings. Recent model runs have converged on these values, with limited spread compared to earlier projections that briefly suggested 30°C+. Official station data and real-time observations through the morning have reinforced the 25–26°C bins, prompting traders to assign over 94% combined implied probability to these outcomes. Higher bins remain discounted due to the absence of anomalous warmth or southerly flow, while sub-25°C scenarios are improbable given the established diurnal rise. Resolution hinges on the official Paris station maximum recorded by 12:00 UTC.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Paris on June 14?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 14?
26°C 57%
25°C 38%
27°C 3.7%
29°C <1%
$59,519 거래량
$59,519 거래량
2026.06.14
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
38%
26°C
57%
27°C
4%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 57%
25°C 38%
27°C 3.7%
29°C <1%
$59,519 거래량
$59,519 거래량
2026.06.14
20°C or below
$3,004 거래량
<1%
21°C
$561 거래량
<1%
22°C
$2,550 거래량
<1%
23°C
$8,477 거래량
<1%
24°C
$12,547 거래량
<1%
25°C
$7,476 거래량
38%
26°C
$6,903 거래량
57%
27°C
$9,249 거래량
4%
28°C
$6,810 거래량
<1%
29°C
$4,115 거래량
1%
30°C or higher
$3,738 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Paris on June 14, 2026, centers on a maximum of 25–26°C under mostly clear, high-pressure conditions.** Multiple models, including Météo-France and European guidance, indicate daytime peaks in this narrow range after overnight lows near 13–16°C, consistent with slightly above-average early-June values (historical June highs average ~22–24°C). Light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover support efficient daytime heating without the strong advection needed for 27°C+ readings.
Recent model runs have converged on these values, with limited spread compared to earlier projections that briefly suggested 30°C+. Official station data and real-time observations through the morning have reinforced the 25–26°C bins, prompting traders to assign over 94% combined implied probability to these outcomes. Higher bins remain discounted due to the absence of anomalous warmth or southerly flow, while sub-25°C scenarios are improbable given the established diurnal rise. Resolution hinges on the official Paris station maximum recorded by 12:00 UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
거래량
$59,519종료일
2026.06.14마켓 개설일
Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Paris on June 14, 2026, centers on a maximum of 25–26°C under mostly clear, high-pressure conditions.** Multiple models, including Météo-France and European guidance, indicate daytime peaks in this narrow range after overnight lows near 13–16°C, consistent with slightly above-average early-June values (historical June highs average ~22–24°C). Light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover support efficient daytime heating without the strong advection needed for 27°C+ readings.
Recent model runs have converged on these values, with limited spread compared to earlier projections that briefly suggested 30°C+. Official station data and real-time observations through the morning have reinforced the 25–26°C bins, prompting traders to assign over 94% combined implied probability to these outcomes. Higher bins remain discounted due to the absence of anomalous warmth or southerly flow, while sub-25°C scenarios are improbable given the established diurnal rise. Resolution hinges on the official Paris station maximum recorded by 12:00 UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$59,519종료일
2026.06.14마켓 개설일
Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET**Forecast consensus for Paris on June 14, 2026, centers on a maximum of 25–26°C under mostly clear, high-pressure conditions.** Multiple models, including Météo-France and European guidance, indicate daytime peaks in this narrow range after overnight lows near 13–16°C, consistent with slightly above-average early-June values (historical June highs average ~22–24°C). Light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover support efficient daytime heating without the strong advection needed for 27°C+ readings. Recent model runs have converged on these values, with limited spread compared to earlier projections that briefly suggested 30°C+. Official station data and real-time observations through the morning have reinforced the 25–26°C bins, prompting traders to assign over 94% combined implied probability to these outcomes. Higher bins remain discounted due to the absence of anomalous warmth or southerly flow, while sub-25°C scenarios are improbable given the established diurnal rise. Resolution hinges on the official Paris station maximum recorded by 12:00 UTC.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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