Latest ensemble guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF converges on a Paris maximum of 27–29°C for June 15 under a strengthening anticyclone that has already delivered 30–31°C on June 14. Model plumes show limited spread around this range, with only modest cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing expected to prevent further warming while steering patterns keep Atlantic cooling at bay. Historical June climatology places such values slightly above average, supporting the market’s clustering at 28°C (43.5%) and 29°C (30.0%) as the consensus outcome ahead of the final model runs and official observations used for resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Paris on June 15?
28°C 44%
29°C 30%
27°C 17%
30°C 6.2%
$19,271 거래량
$19,271 거래량
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
17%
28°C
44%
29°C
30%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 44%
29°C 30%
27°C 17%
30°C 6.2%
$19,271 거래량
$19,271 거래량
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
17%
28°C
44%
29°C
30%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest ensemble guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF converges on a Paris maximum of 27–29°C for June 15 under a strengthening anticyclone that has already delivered 30–31°C on June 14. Model plumes show limited spread around this range, with only modest cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing expected to prevent further warming while steering patterns keep Atlantic cooling at bay. Historical June climatology places such values slightly above average, supporting the market’s clustering at 28°C (43.5%) and 29°C (30.0%) as the consensus outcome ahead of the final model runs and official observations used for resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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