Recent model consensus for Shanghai on June 16 points to a modest daily maximum near 26–27 °C amid the ongoing Meiyu (plum-rain) season, when persistent cloud cover and scattered showers sharply reduce solar insolation and cap afternoon heating. High humidity and light southerly flow further suppress temperature rise, while any breaks in overcast skies or delayed rainfall timing could allow brief warming toward 28 °C. The near-even split between the 26 °C and 27 °C contracts reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of precipitation and boundary-layer mixing. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 16?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 16?
27°C 32%
26°C 31%
25°C 14%
28°C 11.3%
신규
신규
2026.06.16
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
9%
25°C
14%
26°C
31%
27°C
32%
28°C
11%
29°C
4%
30°C or higher
1%
27°C 32%
26°C 31%
25°C 14%
28°C 11.3%
신규
신규
2026.06.16
20°C or below
$122 거래량
<1%
21°C
$18 거래량
<1%
22°C
$77 거래량
1%
23°C
$371 거래량
1%
24°C
$157 거래량
9%
25°C
$252 거래량
14%
26°C
$63 거래량
31%
27°C
$172 거래량
32%
28°C
$302 거래량
11%
29°C
$59 거래량
4%
30°C or higher
$245 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus for Shanghai on June 16 points to a modest daily maximum near 26–27 °C amid the ongoing Meiyu (plum-rain) season, when persistent cloud cover and scattered showers sharply reduce solar insolation and cap afternoon heating. High humidity and light southerly flow further suppress temperature rise, while any breaks in overcast skies or delayed rainfall timing could allow brief warming toward 28 °C. The near-even split between the 26 °C and 27 °C contracts reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of precipitation and boundary-layer mixing. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$1,827종료일
2026.06.16마켓 개설일
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus for Shanghai on June 16 points to a modest daily maximum near 26–27 °C amid the ongoing Meiyu (plum-rain) season, when persistent cloud cover and scattered showers sharply reduce solar insolation and cap afternoon heating. High humidity and light southerly flow further suppress temperature rise, while any breaks in overcast skies or delayed rainfall timing could allow brief warming toward 28 °C. The near-even split between the 26 °C and 27 °C contracts reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of precipitation and boundary-layer mixing. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$1,827종료일
2026.06.16마켓 개설일
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent model consensus for Shanghai on June 16 points to a modest daily maximum near 26–27 °C amid the ongoing Meiyu (plum-rain) season, when persistent cloud cover and scattered showers sharply reduce solar insolation and cap afternoon heating. High humidity and light southerly flow further suppress temperature rise, while any breaks in overcast skies or delayed rainfall timing could allow brief warming toward 28 °C. The near-even split between the 26 °C and 27 °C contracts reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of precipitation and boundary-layer mixing. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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