Trader consensus strongly favors 26°C as Istanbul’s highest temperature on June 14, reflecting meteorological model consensus from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF. Current synoptic patterns, including a stable high-pressure ridge and moderate northerly flow, support daytime maxima near this threshold under typical early-summer insolation levels. Official observations and short-range forecasts show minimal deviation expected through the afternoon peak. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include rapid cloud build-up suppressing surface heating, a stronger sea breeze, or model errors in boundary-layer mixing, though these remain low-probability given recent verification trends.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 14?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 14?
26°C 96.5%
27°C 5.0%
28°C <1%
25°C <1%
$43,845 거래량
$43,845 거래량
2026.06.14
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
97%
27°C
5%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 96.5%
27°C 5.0%
28°C <1%
25°C <1%
$43,845 거래량
$43,845 거래량
2026.06.14
20°C or below
$6,340 거래량
<1%
21°C
$1,321 거래량
<1%
22°C
$1,940 거래량
<1%
23°C
$5,561 거래량
<1%
24°C
$5,604 거래량
<1%
25°C
$10,012 거래량
<1%
26°C
$5,285 거래량
97%
27°C
$2,386 거래량
5%
28°C
$2,498 거래량
<1%
29°C
$1,468 거래량
<1%
30°C or higher
$2,063 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors 26°C as Istanbul’s highest temperature on June 14, reflecting meteorological model consensus from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF. Current synoptic patterns, including a stable high-pressure ridge and moderate northerly flow, support daytime maxima near this threshold under typical early-summer insolation levels. Official observations and short-range forecasts show minimal deviation expected through the afternoon peak. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include rapid cloud build-up suppressing surface heating, a stronger sea breeze, or model errors in boundary-layer mixing, though these remain low-probability given recent verification trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
거래량
$43,845종료일
2026.06.14마켓 개설일
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors 26°C as Istanbul’s highest temperature on June 14, reflecting meteorological model consensus from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF. Current synoptic patterns, including a stable high-pressure ridge and moderate northerly flow, support daytime maxima near this threshold under typical early-summer insolation levels. Official observations and short-range forecasts show minimal deviation expected through the afternoon peak. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include rapid cloud build-up suppressing surface heating, a stronger sea breeze, or model errors in boundary-layer mixing, though these remain low-probability given recent verification trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$43,845종료일
2026.06.14마켓 개설일
Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors 26°C as Istanbul’s highest temperature on June 14, reflecting meteorological model consensus from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF. Current synoptic patterns, including a stable high-pressure ridge and moderate northerly flow, support daytime maxima near this threshold under typical early-summer insolation levels. Official observations and short-range forecasts show minimal deviation expected through the afternoon peak. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include rapid cloud build-up suppressing surface heating, a stronger sea breeze, or model errors in boundary-layer mixing, though these remain low-probability given recent verification trends.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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