Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a rainy Monday in Tokyo with a maximum of 20°C under persistent cloud cover, limiting daytime heating compared to seasonal norms near 26°C. This aligns with early June patterns during the onset of the baiu rainy season, where high precipitation probabilities (70-80% morning hours) and reduced insolation suppress peak temperatures. Trader consensus favoring 21-22°C reflects model uncertainty around exact rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming, alongside historical variability of ±1-2°C in similar synoptic setups. Updated model runs and JMA briefings on June 14-15 will likely refine these narrow spreads.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 15일 도쿄에서 가장 높은 기온?
6월 15일 도쿄에서 가장 높은 기온?
21°C 36%
22°C 34%
23°C 16%
20°C 14%
신규
$16,109 거래량
신규
$16,109 거래량
2026.06.15
17°C 이하
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
14%
21°C
36%
22°C
34%
23°C
16%
24°C
3%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C 이상
<1%
21°C 36%
22°C 34%
23°C 16%
20°C 14%
신규
$16,109 거래량
신규
$16,109 거래량
2026.06.15
17°C 이하
$2,798 거래량
<1%
18°C
$939 거래량
1%
19°C
$1,538 거래량
3%
20°C
$917 거래량
14%
21°C
$959 거래량
36%
22°C
$972 거래량
34%
23°C
$689 거래량
16%
24°C
$2,131 거래량
3%
25°C
$1,409 거래량
<1%
26°C
$1,978 거래량
<1%
27°C 이상
$2,927 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a rainy Monday in Tokyo with a maximum of 20°C under persistent cloud cover, limiting daytime heating compared to seasonal norms near 26°C. This aligns with early June patterns during the onset of the baiu rainy season, where high precipitation probabilities (70-80% morning hours) and reduced insolation suppress peak temperatures. Trader consensus favoring 21-22°C reflects model uncertainty around exact rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming, alongside historical variability of ±1-2°C in similar synoptic setups. Updated model runs and JMA briefings on June 14-15 will likely refine these narrow spreads.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
거래량
$16,109종료일
2026.06.15마켓 개설일
Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a rainy Monday in Tokyo with a maximum of 20°C under persistent cloud cover, limiting daytime heating compared to seasonal norms near 26°C. This aligns with early June patterns during the onset of the baiu rainy season, where high precipitation probabilities (70-80% morning hours) and reduced insolation suppress peak temperatures. Trader consensus favoring 21-22°C reflects model uncertainty around exact rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming, alongside historical variability of ±1-2°C in similar synoptic setups. Updated model runs and JMA briefings on June 14-15 will likely refine these narrow spreads.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$16,109종료일
2026.06.15마켓 개설일
Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETRecent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a rainy Monday in Tokyo with a maximum of 20°C under persistent cloud cover, limiting daytime heating compared to seasonal norms near 26°C. This aligns with early June patterns during the onset of the baiu rainy season, where high precipitation probabilities (70-80% morning hours) and reduced insolation suppress peak temperatures. Trader consensus favoring 21-22°C reflects model uncertainty around exact rainfall timing, cloud thickness, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming, alongside historical variability of ±1-2°C in similar synoptic setups. Updated model runs and JMA briefings on June 14-15 will likely refine these narrow spreads.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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