Latest high-resolution model guidance from ECMWF and GFS places Milan’s maximum temperature near 31–32 °C under a stable high-pressure regime, light westerly flow, and mostly clear skies that maximize insolation while limiting mixing. This consensus drives the near-even split between the 30 °C and 31 °C contracts, as traders weigh subtle differences in boundary-layer depth and the precise timing of peak heating. Milan’s urban heat-island effect can add 1–2 °C locally relative to rural stations, yet modest afternoon breezes or thin high cloud may shave the observed peak by a degree. Official ARPA Lombardia and airport observations will resolve the market by evening, with any late-model update or unexpected wind shift remaining the main near-term variable.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Milan on June 14?
31°C 48%
30°C 43%
32°C 6%
29°C 2.1%
$20,687 거래량
$20,687 거래량
28°C 이하
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
43%
31°C
48%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 48%
30°C 43%
32°C 6%
29°C 2.1%
$20,687 거래량
$20,687 거래량
28°C 이하
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
43%
31°C
48%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest high-resolution model guidance from ECMWF and GFS places Milan’s maximum temperature near 31–32 °C under a stable high-pressure regime, light westerly flow, and mostly clear skies that maximize insolation while limiting mixing. This consensus drives the near-even split between the 30 °C and 31 °C contracts, as traders weigh subtle differences in boundary-layer depth and the precise timing of peak heating. Milan’s urban heat-island effect can add 1–2 °C locally relative to rural stations, yet modest afternoon breezes or thin high cloud may shave the observed peak by a degree. Official ARPA Lombardia and airport observations will resolve the market by evening, with any late-model update or unexpected wind shift remaining the main near-term variable.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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