Recent model consensus from the Met Office and European ensembles points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear or partly cloudy skies and light winds, favoring a London minimum near 12–13 °C for 15 June. This range sits close to the June climatological average at Heathrow and reflects modest nocturnal heat loss after daytime maxima around 22–24 °C. Small differences in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and any weak frontal passage tonight create the tight spread between the two leading outcomes; ensemble members diverge by 1–2 °C depending on exact timing of any increase in low cloud or wind. Updated runs closer to the overnight minimum will determine whether the distribution shifts toward the slightly cooler or warmer side of this narrow band.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 15일 런던 최저 기온?
6월 15일 런던 최저 기온?
12°C 40%
13°C 37%
11°C 8%
14°C 5%
신규
신규
2026.06.15
8°C or below
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
8%
12°C
42%
13°C
39%
14°C
5%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
12°C 40%
13°C 37%
11°C 8%
14°C 5%
신규
신규
2026.06.15
8°C or below
$110 거래량
1%
9°C
$41 거래량
1%
10°C
$55 거래량
1%
11°C
$113 거래량
8%
12°C
$119 거래량
42%
13°C
$194 거래량
39%
14°C
$174 거래량
5%
15°C
$238 거래량
<1%
16°C
$148 거래량
<1%
17°C
$147 거래량
<1%
18°C or higher
$154 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the Met Office and European ensembles points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear or partly cloudy skies and light winds, favoring a London minimum near 12–13 °C for 15 June. This range sits close to the June climatological average at Heathrow and reflects modest nocturnal heat loss after daytime maxima around 22–24 °C. Small differences in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and any weak frontal passage tonight create the tight spread between the two leading outcomes; ensemble members diverge by 1–2 °C depending on exact timing of any increase in low cloud or wind. Updated runs closer to the overnight minimum will determine whether the distribution shifts toward the slightly cooler or warmer side of this narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 13, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
거래량
$1,485종료일
2026.06.15마켓 개설일
Jun 13, 2026, 12:40 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the Met Office and European ensembles points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear or partly cloudy skies and light winds, favoring a London minimum near 12–13 °C for 15 June. This range sits close to the June climatological average at Heathrow and reflects modest nocturnal heat loss after daytime maxima around 22–24 °C. Small differences in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and any weak frontal passage tonight create the tight spread between the two leading outcomes; ensemble members diverge by 1–2 °C depending on exact timing of any increase in low cloud or wind. Updated runs closer to the overnight minimum will determine whether the distribution shifts toward the slightly cooler or warmer side of this narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$1,485종료일
2026.06.15마켓 개설일
Jun 13, 2026, 12:40 AM ETRecent model consensus from the Met Office and European ensembles points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear or partly cloudy skies and light winds, favoring a London minimum near 12–13 °C for 15 June. This range sits close to the June climatological average at Heathrow and reflects modest nocturnal heat loss after daytime maxima around 22–24 °C. Small differences in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and any weak frontal passage tonight create the tight spread between the two leading outcomes; ensemble members diverge by 1–2 °C depending on exact timing of any increase in low cloud or wind. Updated runs closer to the overnight minimum will determine whether the distribution shifts toward the slightly cooler or warmer side of this narrow band.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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