Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance for London on June 14, 2026, converged on an overnight minimum of 13°C under building high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote moderate radiative cooling without deeper drops. This consensus, backed by real-time observations at key stations like Heathrow, underpins the 99.1% market-implied probability for 13°C as the daily low. Traders treat this as the resolution threshold given the day's proximity and limited remaining uncertainty in steering patterns or cloud cover. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected wind increases or thicker low-level cloud that limit cooling, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before the market resolves.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 14일 런던 최저 기온?
13°C 98.7%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
7°C 이하 <1%
$13,581 거래량
$13,581 거래량
7°C 이하
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C 이상
<1%
13°C 98.7%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
7°C 이하 <1%
$13,581 거래량
$13,581 거래량
7°C 이하
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance for London on June 14, 2026, converged on an overnight minimum of 13°C under building high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that promote moderate radiative cooling without deeper drops. This consensus, backed by real-time observations at key stations like Heathrow, underpins the 99.1% market-implied probability for 13°C as the daily low. Traders treat this as the resolution threshold given the day's proximity and limited remaining uncertainty in steering patterns or cloud cover. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected wind increases or thicker low-level cloud that limit cooling, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before the market resolves.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문