Recent ensemble forecasts for Paris indicate overnight lows centered near 12–13°C on June 15, with model spread across 11–14°C driving the tight market clustering. Clear skies under the prevailing high-pressure ridge promote strong radiative cooling after the warm 30°C daytime peak on June 14, favoring the 12°C outcome, while any increase in low-level cloud cover or light southerly flow would limit cooling and support 13–14°C readings. Typical mid-June climatology places Paris minima around 12–14°C, and traders weigh the latest Météo-France and ECMWF runs against urban heat-island effects that can elevate observed lows by 1–2°C relative to rural stations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 15일 파리에서 기온이 가장 낮으신가요?
12°C 29%
13°C 22%
11°C 17%
14°C 11%
10°C 이하
2%
11°C
17%
12°C
33%
13°C
30%
14°C
11%
15°C
5%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C 이상
<1%
12°C 29%
13°C 22%
11°C 17%
14°C 11%
10°C 이하
2%
11°C
17%
12°C
33%
13°C
30%
14°C
11%
15°C
5%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts for Paris indicate overnight lows centered near 12–13°C on June 15, with model spread across 11–14°C driving the tight market clustering. Clear skies under the prevailing high-pressure ridge promote strong radiative cooling after the warm 30°C daytime peak on June 14, favoring the 12°C outcome, while any increase in low-level cloud cover or light southerly flow would limit cooling and support 13–14°C readings. Typical mid-June climatology places Paris minima around 12–14°C, and traders weigh the latest Météo-France and ECMWF runs against urban heat-island effects that can elevate observed lows by 1–2°C relative to rural stations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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