Current ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) clusters the expected daily maximum in Munich near 22–23 °C on June 16, supported by a weak westerly flow, limited cloud cover, and light winds that allow modest diurnal warming under high pressure. This produces the tight market distribution between those two outcomes. Differentiation among 22 °C, 23 °C, and 24 °C hinges on small uncertainties in afternoon insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise arrival of any subtle moisture or frontal features that could cap or enhance the peak by 1–2 °C. Official verification will use the Deutscher Wetterdienst station network, where urban effects and exact siting add minor additional variance to model output within the final 24–36 hours.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Munich on June 16?
22°C 30%
23°C 28%
24°C 17%
21°C 16%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
5%
21°C
16%
22°C
30%
23°C
28%
24°C
17%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 30%
23°C 28%
24°C 17%
21°C 16%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
5%
21°C
16%
22°C
30%
23°C
28%
24°C
17%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current ensemble guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) clusters the expected daily maximum in Munich near 22–23 °C on June 16, supported by a weak westerly flow, limited cloud cover, and light winds that allow modest diurnal warming under high pressure. This produces the tight market distribution between those two outcomes. Differentiation among 22 °C, 23 °C, and 24 °C hinges on small uncertainties in afternoon insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise arrival of any subtle moisture or frontal features that could cap or enhance the peak by 1–2 °C. Official verification will use the Deutscher Wetterdienst station network, where urban effects and exact siting add minor additional variance to model output within the final 24–36 hours.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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