Recent cooling after France's intense late-June heatwave is the main driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C. Persistent high pressure and northeasterly flow that produced 37–40°C readings earlier in the week are weakening, allowing Atlantic maritime air and scattered thundershowers to moderate temperatures. Ensemble guidance from Météo-France and other models shows the highest uncertainty in the precise timing and strength of this transition over the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities for adjacent thresholds nearly even. Historical late-June variability and rapid model shifts in frontal passage or cloud cover add to the balanced sentiment, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded on June 29.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 29일 파리에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
6월 29일 파리에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
27°C 37%
28°C 32%
26°C 18%
29°C 9%
신규
$10,988 거래량
신규
$10,988 거래량
2026.06.29
24°C or below
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
18%
27°C
37%
28°C
32%
29°C
9%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
27°C 37%
28°C 32%
26°C 18%
29°C 9%
신규
$10,988 거래량
신규
$10,988 거래량
2026.06.29
24°C or below
$402 거래량
1%
25°C
$1,194 거래량
3%
26°C
$1,936 거래량
18%
27°C
$973 거래량
37%
28°C
$1,030 거래량
32%
29°C
$1,271 거래량
9%
30°C
$2,846 거래량
3%
31°C
$247 거래량
1%
32°C
$286 거래량
<1%
33°C
$155 거래량
<1%
34°C or higher
$650 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling after France's intense late-June heatwave is the main driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C. Persistent high pressure and northeasterly flow that produced 37–40°C readings earlier in the week are weakening, allowing Atlantic maritime air and scattered thundershowers to moderate temperatures. Ensemble guidance from Météo-France and other models shows the highest uncertainty in the precise timing and strength of this transition over the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities for adjacent thresholds nearly even. Historical late-June variability and rapid model shifts in frontal passage or cloud cover add to the balanced sentiment, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded on June 29.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 27, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
거래량
$10,988종료일
2026.06.29마켓 개설일
Jun 27, 2026, 12:01 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling after France's intense late-June heatwave is the main driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C. Persistent high pressure and northeasterly flow that produced 37–40°C readings earlier in the week are weakening, allowing Atlantic maritime air and scattered thundershowers to moderate temperatures. Ensemble guidance from Météo-France and other models shows the highest uncertainty in the precise timing and strength of this transition over the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities for adjacent thresholds nearly even. Historical late-June variability and rapid model shifts in frontal passage or cloud cover add to the balanced sentiment, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded on June 29.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$10,988종료일
2026.06.29마켓 개설일
Jun 27, 2026, 12:01 AM ETRecent cooling after France's intense late-June heatwave is the main driver behind the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C. Persistent high pressure and northeasterly flow that produced 37–40°C readings earlier in the week are weakening, allowing Atlantic maritime air and scattered thundershowers to moderate temperatures. Ensemble guidance from Météo-France and other models shows the highest uncertainty in the precise timing and strength of this transition over the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities for adjacent thresholds nearly even. Historical late-June variability and rapid model shifts in frontal passage or cloud cover add to the balanced sentiment, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded on June 29.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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