**Trader sentiment for Seoul's July 2 peak temperature centers on typical early-July monsoon conditions, with forecast models pointing to highs near 28–30°C amid high humidity and variable cloud cover.** Short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and AccuWeather shows daytime maxima in the 27–31°C range, influenced by urban heat effects, southwesterly flow, and the risk of afternoon showers that can suppress peaks. The market's tight clustering around 27–29°C (over 70% combined probability) reflects model consensus on moderate instability rather than extreme heat, while lower probabilities for 30°C+ or cooler outcomes account for uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation. Historical July averages near 28–29°C provide context, with traders weighting the latest model runs for resolution on the official daily high.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Seoul on July 2?
Highest temperature in Seoul on July 2?
28°C 32%
27°C 24%
29°C 18%
30°C 10%
신규
신규
2026.07.02
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
7%
27°C
24%
28°C
32%
29°C
18%
30°C
10%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
2%
28°C 32%
27°C 24%
29°C 18%
30°C 10%
신규
신규
2026.07.02
22°C or below
$4,788 거래량
1%
23°C
$3,978 거래량
1%
24°C
$79 거래량
1%
25°C
$29 거래량
3%
26°C
$27 거래량
7%
27°C
$17 거래량
24%
28°C
$44 거래량
32%
29°C
$136 거래량
18%
30°C
$27 거래량
10%
31°C
$0 거래량
5%
32°C or higher
$102 거래량
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Seoul's July 2 peak temperature centers on typical early-July monsoon conditions, with forecast models pointing to highs near 28–30°C amid high humidity and variable cloud cover.** Short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and AccuWeather shows daytime maxima in the 27–31°C range, influenced by urban heat effects, southwesterly flow, and the risk of afternoon showers that can suppress peaks. The market's tight clustering around 27–29°C (over 70% combined probability) reflects model consensus on moderate instability rather than extreme heat, while lower probabilities for 30°C+ or cooler outcomes account for uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation. Historical July averages near 28–29°C provide context, with traders weighting the latest model runs for resolution on the official daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
거래량
$9,228종료일
2026.07.02마켓 개설일
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Seoul's July 2 peak temperature centers on typical early-July monsoon conditions, with forecast models pointing to highs near 28–30°C amid high humidity and variable cloud cover.** Short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and AccuWeather shows daytime maxima in the 27–31°C range, influenced by urban heat effects, southwesterly flow, and the risk of afternoon showers that can suppress peaks. The market's tight clustering around 27–29°C (over 70% combined probability) reflects model consensus on moderate instability rather than extreme heat, while lower probabilities for 30°C+ or cooler outcomes account for uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation. Historical July averages near 28–29°C provide context, with traders weighting the latest model runs for resolution on the official daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$9,228종료일
2026.07.02마켓 개설일
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET**Trader sentiment for Seoul's July 2 peak temperature centers on typical early-July monsoon conditions, with forecast models pointing to highs near 28–30°C amid high humidity and variable cloud cover.** Short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and AccuWeather shows daytime maxima in the 27–31°C range, influenced by urban heat effects, southwesterly flow, and the risk of afternoon showers that can suppress peaks. The market's tight clustering around 27–29°C (over 70% combined probability) reflects model consensus on moderate instability rather than extreme heat, while lower probabilities for 30°C+ or cooler outcomes account for uncertainty in exact cloud timing and precipitation. Historical July averages near 28–29°C provide context, with traders weighting the latest model runs for resolution on the official daily high.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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