Trader sentiment for Seoul's July 2 minimum temperature centers on evolving monsoon influences from the East Asian rainy season, which brings variable cloud cover and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble model guidance shows overnight lows clustered near 20–23°C, with recent runs indicating potential for slightly cooler readings if clearer intervals develop overnight or warmer outcomes under persistent humidity and rain. Historical July climatology places typical minima around 21–22°C, but short-term variability in steering patterns and precipitation timing creates the tight spread across leading outcomes. Updated KMA and global model outputs ahead of July 1–2 will likely refine resolution thresholds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Lowest temperature in Seoul on July 2?
22°C 22%
21°C 21%
23°C 18%
20°C 18%
17°C or below
2%
18°C
10%
19°C
17%
20°C
18%
21°C
21%
22°C
22%
23°C
18%
24°C
14%
25°C
7%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
14%
22°C 22%
21°C 21%
23°C 18%
20°C 18%
17°C or below
2%
18°C
10%
19°C
17%
20°C
18%
21°C
21%
22°C
22%
23°C
18%
24°C
14%
25°C
7%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader sentiment for Seoul's July 2 minimum temperature centers on evolving monsoon influences from the East Asian rainy season, which brings variable cloud cover and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble model guidance shows overnight lows clustered near 20–23°C, with recent runs indicating potential for slightly cooler readings if clearer intervals develop overnight or warmer outcomes under persistent humidity and rain. Historical July climatology places typical minima around 21–22°C, but short-term variability in steering patterns and precipitation timing creates the tight spread across leading outcomes. Updated KMA and global model outputs ahead of July 1–2 will likely refine resolution thresholds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문