Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a minimum temperature near 15–16°C for London on July 2, driven by a mild southwesterly flow under slack high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Light winds and variable cloud cover are expected to moderate heat loss from the urban surface, while the city’s heat-island effect adds roughly 1–2°C compared with rural sites. With leading market probabilities tightly clustered between 15°C and 18°C, traders are weighting the spread in forecast guidance—particularly differences in predicted cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing—alongside climatological July overnight lows near 14°C. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Lowest temperature in London on July 2?
Lowest temperature in London on July 2?
14°C 66%
12°C or below 59%
17°C 42%
16°C 37%
신규
신규
2026.07.02
12°C or below
59%
13°C
32%
14°C
66%
15°C
34%
16°C
37%
17°C
42%
18°C
35%
19°C
16%
20°C
32%
21°C
15%
22°C or higher
17%
14°C 66%
12°C or below 59%
17°C 42%
16°C 37%
신규
신규
2026.07.02
12°C or below
$0 거래량
59%
13°C
$0 거래량
32%
14°C
$0 거래량
66%
15°C
$0 거래량
34%
16°C
$0 거래량
37%
17°C
$0 거래량
42%
18°C
$0 거래량
35%
19°C
$0 거래량
16%
20°C
$0 거래량
32%
21°C
$0 거래량
15%
22°C or higher
$0 거래량
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a minimum temperature near 15–16°C for London on July 2, driven by a mild southwesterly flow under slack high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Light winds and variable cloud cover are expected to moderate heat loss from the urban surface, while the city’s heat-island effect adds roughly 1–2°C compared with rural sites. With leading market probabilities tightly clustered between 15°C and 18°C, traders are weighting the spread in forecast guidance—particularly differences in predicted cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing—alongside climatological July overnight lows near 14°C. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
거래량
$0종료일
2026.07.02마켓 개설일
Jun 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a minimum temperature near 15–16°C for London on July 2, driven by a mild southwesterly flow under slack high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Light winds and variable cloud cover are expected to moderate heat loss from the urban surface, while the city’s heat-island effect adds roughly 1–2°C compared with rural sites. With leading market probabilities tightly clustered between 15°C and 18°C, traders are weighting the spread in forecast guidance—particularly differences in predicted cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing—alongside climatological July overnight lows near 14°C. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$0종료일
2026.07.02마켓 개설일
Jun 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a minimum temperature near 15–16°C for London on July 2, driven by a mild southwesterly flow under slack high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Light winds and variable cloud cover are expected to moderate heat loss from the urban surface, while the city’s heat-island effect adds roughly 1–2°C compared with rural sites. With leading market probabilities tightly clustered between 15°C and 18°C, traders are weighting the spread in forecast guidance—particularly differences in predicted cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing—alongside climatological July overnight lows near 14°C. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문