Current forecast guidance from agencies including MetService and NIWA points to a maximum of 11–12°C in Wellington on June 30, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities for those exact outcomes. Late June climatology shows typical daily highs near 12°C under near-average seasonal conditions, with no strong signals for significant deviation from the NIWA outlook. Short-range model runs emphasize southerly flows and possible cloud cover that cap daytime warming, while light winds and clearer intervals could allow brief rises toward 13°C. Traders appear to be weighting the most recent deterministic forecasts and historical analogs over longer-term variability, with resolution hinging on the official highest reading from the Kelburn station. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 30일 웰링턴에서 가장 높은 온도는?
6월 30일 웰링턴에서 가장 높은 온도는?
12°C 50%
11°C 32%
13°C 15%
10°C 4.2%
신규
신규
2026.06.30
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
3%
10°C
4%
11°C
32%
12°C
50%
13°C
15%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C or higher
1%
12°C 50%
11°C 32%
13°C 15%
10°C 4.2%
신규
신규
2026.06.30
6°C or below
$1,185 거래량
<1%
7°C
$15 거래량
<1%
8°C
$155 거래량
1%
9°C
$47 거래량
3%
10°C
$40 거래량
4%
11°C
$168 거래량
32%
12°C
$182 거래량
50%
13°C
$207 거래량
15%
14°C
$75 거래량
1%
15°C
$651 거래량
2%
16°C or higher
$620 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from agencies including MetService and NIWA points to a maximum of 11–12°C in Wellington on June 30, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities for those exact outcomes. Late June climatology shows typical daily highs near 12°C under near-average seasonal conditions, with no strong signals for significant deviation from the NIWA outlook. Short-range model runs emphasize southerly flows and possible cloud cover that cap daytime warming, while light winds and clearer intervals could allow brief rises toward 13°C. Traders appear to be weighting the most recent deterministic forecasts and historical analogs over longer-term variability, with resolution hinging on the official highest reading from the Kelburn station. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
거래량
$3,287종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Jun 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from agencies including MetService and NIWA points to a maximum of 11–12°C in Wellington on June 30, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities for those exact outcomes. Late June climatology shows typical daily highs near 12°C under near-average seasonal conditions, with no strong signals for significant deviation from the NIWA outlook. Short-range model runs emphasize southerly flows and possible cloud cover that cap daytime warming, while light winds and clearer intervals could allow brief rises toward 13°C. Traders appear to be weighting the most recent deterministic forecasts and historical analogs over longer-term variability, with resolution hinging on the official highest reading from the Kelburn station. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$3,287종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Jun 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ETCurrent forecast guidance from agencies including MetService and NIWA points to a maximum of 11–12°C in Wellington on June 30, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities for those exact outcomes. Late June climatology shows typical daily highs near 12°C under near-average seasonal conditions, with no strong signals for significant deviation from the NIWA outlook. Short-range model runs emphasize southerly flows and possible cloud cover that cap daytime warming, while light winds and clearer intervals could allow brief rises toward 13°C. Traders appear to be weighting the most recent deterministic forecasts and historical analogs over longer-term variability, with resolution hinging on the official highest reading from the Kelburn station. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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