Singapore’s equatorial climate produces highly stable daily maximum temperatures, typically ranging 30–33°C year-round due to consistent solar heating and high humidity. For July 1 2026, the market heavily favors 32°C (44.5%) or 31°C (31.5%), reflecting climatological norms and the ongoing Southwest Monsoon, which the Meteorological Service Singapore projects will deliver above-average temperatures but below-average rainfall through August. Recent seasonal outlooks note a possible weak El Niño influence that could modestly elevate maxima without pushing them into the low-30s extremes. Model consensus and historical analogs show 33°C or higher occurs only on clearer, less cloudy days, explaining the sharp drop in implied probability beyond 32°C, while lower outcomes remain unlikely given persistent monsoon warmth. Updated short-range guidance closer to the date will refine these odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Singapore on July 1?
32°C 45%
31°C 33%
33°C 12%
30°C 10%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
10%
31°C
33%
32°C
45%
33°C
12%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 45%
31°C 33%
33°C 12%
30°C 10%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
10%
31°C
33%
32°C
45%
33°C
12%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Singapore’s equatorial climate produces highly stable daily maximum temperatures, typically ranging 30–33°C year-round due to consistent solar heating and high humidity. For July 1 2026, the market heavily favors 32°C (44.5%) or 31°C (31.5%), reflecting climatological norms and the ongoing Southwest Monsoon, which the Meteorological Service Singapore projects will deliver above-average temperatures but below-average rainfall through August. Recent seasonal outlooks note a possible weak El Niño influence that could modestly elevate maxima without pushing them into the low-30s extremes. Model consensus and historical analogs show 33°C or higher occurs only on clearer, less cloudy days, explaining the sharp drop in implied probability beyond 32°C, while lower outcomes remain unlikely given persistent monsoon warmth. Updated short-range guidance closer to the date will refine these odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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