Recent Central Weather Administration outlooks and ensemble model runs point to a building subtropical ridge supporting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius for Taipei on June 29, aligning with the tight 32–34 °C cluster that dominates trader pricing. Key variables include the strength and position of the Western Pacific subtropical high, which modulates solar heating and moisture advection, versus the timing and coverage of afternoon convective showers that can cap maximum temperatures by several degrees through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Historical June climatology shows typical maxima near 31–32 °C, so current guidance above average reflects drier conditions expected after an early-month wet spell, though model spread on boundary-layer moisture and sea-breeze effects keeps the three leading outcomes within a few percentage points of each other.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 29일 타이베이에서 가장 높은 기온?
34°C 31%
35°C 24.9%
33°C 21%
32°C 10%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
10%
33°C
21%
34°C
31%
35°C
25%
36°C
9%
37°C or higher
5%
34°C 31%
35°C 24.9%
33°C 21%
32°C 10%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
10%
33°C
21%
34°C
31%
35°C
25%
36°C
9%
37°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Central Weather Administration outlooks and ensemble model runs point to a building subtropical ridge supporting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius for Taipei on June 29, aligning with the tight 32–34 °C cluster that dominates trader pricing. Key variables include the strength and position of the Western Pacific subtropical high, which modulates solar heating and moisture advection, versus the timing and coverage of afternoon convective showers that can cap maximum temperatures by several degrees through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Historical June climatology shows typical maxima near 31–32 °C, so current guidance above average reflects drier conditions expected after an early-month wet spell, though model spread on boundary-layer moisture and sea-breeze effects keeps the three leading outcomes within a few percentage points of each other.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문