The ongoing livestream endurance test of Figure’s F.03 humanoid robots sorting packages autonomously has emerged as the key catalyst behind the 68.5% market-implied probability for a 200-hour-plus run without failure. Three units have already surpassed 50 continuous hours of human-speed operation powered by the Helix-02 neural network and fault-tolerant Vulcan controller, far exceeding the original eight-hour target with zero interventions or teleoperation. Recent manufacturing advances, including a 24x production ramp to one robot per hour and over 1,250 cumulative runtime hours backed by rigorous multi-limb stress testing and burn-in protocols, have strengthened trader confidence in elevated mean-time-between-failures. Lingering questions around long-term gripper wear and scheduled battery swaps sustain the 21.5% odds on the 100-200-hour bracket ahead of the May 21 resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트200시간+ 69%
100-200시간 21%
50-100시간 6%
$70,340 거래량
$70,340 거래량
2026.05.21
50-100시간
6%
100-200시간
21%
200시간+
69%
200시간+ 69%
100-200시간 21%
50-100시간 6%
$70,340 거래량
$70,340 거래량
2026.05.21
50-100시간
$4,465 거래량
6%
100-200시간
$2,663 거래량
21%
200시간+
$11,406 거래량
69%
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing livestream endurance test of Figure’s F.03 humanoid robots sorting packages autonomously has emerged as the key catalyst behind the 68.5% market-implied probability for a 200-hour-plus run without failure. Three units have already surpassed 50 continuous hours of human-speed operation powered by the Helix-02 neural network and fault-tolerant Vulcan controller, far exceeding the original eight-hour target with zero interventions or teleoperation. Recent manufacturing advances, including a 24x production ramp to one robot per hour and over 1,250 cumulative runtime hours backed by rigorous multi-limb stress testing and burn-in protocols, have strengthened trader confidence in elevated mean-time-between-failures. Lingering questions around long-term gripper wear and scheduled battery swaps sustain the 21.5% odds on the 100-200-hour bracket ahead of the May 21 resolution.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
거래량
$70,340종료일
2026.05.21마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ongoing livestream endurance test of Figure’s F.03 humanoid robots sorting packages autonomously has emerged as the key catalyst behind the 68.5% market-implied probability for a 200-hour-plus run without failure. Three units have already surpassed 50 continuous hours of human-speed operation powered by the Helix-02 neural network and fault-tolerant Vulcan controller, far exceeding the original eight-hour target with zero interventions or teleoperation. Recent manufacturing advances, including a 24x production ramp to one robot per hour and over 1,250 cumulative runtime hours backed by rigorous multi-limb stress testing and burn-in protocols, have strengthened trader confidence in elevated mean-time-between-failures. Lingering questions around long-term gripper wear and scheduled battery swaps sustain the 21.5% odds on the 100-200-hour bracket ahead of the May 21 resolution.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$70,340종료일
2026.05.21마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
The ongoing livestream endurance test of Figure’s F.03 humanoid robots sorting packages autonomously has emerged as the key catalyst behind the 68.5% market-implied probability for a 200-hour-plus run without failure. Three units have already surpassed 50 continuous hours of human-speed operation powered by the Helix-02 neural network and fault-tolerant Vulcan controller, far exceeding the original eight-hour target with zero interventions or teleoperation. Recent manufacturing advances, including a 24x production ramp to one robot per hour and over 1,250 cumulative runtime hours backed by rigorous multi-limb stress testing and burn-in protocols, have strengthened trader confidence in elevated mean-time-between-failures. Lingering questions around long-term gripper wear and scheduled battery swaps sustain the 21.5% odds on the 100-200-hour bracket ahead of the May 21 resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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