Current Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to mostly cloudy skies over Tokyo on July 8, supporting overnight lows near 21°C by limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under high humidity and light winds typical of early July. This consensus across global and regional models drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–23°C, where even modest shifts in cloud breaks or steering patterns could tip readings a degree lower or sustain them higher. Above-normal seasonal temperatures add slight upward pressure, yet short-term variability in marine layer influence and urban heat retention keeps probabilities balanced across the leading outcomes. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any re-pricing.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Lowest temperature in Tokyo on July 8?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on July 8?
21°C 39%
22°C 38%
20°C 33%
18°C 32%
신규
신규
2026.07.08
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
13%
18°C
32%
19°C
32%
20°C
33%
21°C
39%
22°C
38%
23°C
31%
24°C
29%
25°C
26%
26°C or higher
25%
21°C 39%
22°C 38%
20°C 33%
18°C 32%
신규
신규
2026.07.08
16°C or below
$107 거래량
<1%
17°C
$57 거래량
13%
18°C
$0 거래량
32%
19°C
$0 거래량
32%
20°C
$0 거래량
33%
21°C
$0 거래량
39%
22°C
$0 거래량
38%
23°C
$0 거래량
31%
24°C
$11 거래량
29%
25°C
$57 거래량
26%
26°C or higher
$57 거래량
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to mostly cloudy skies over Tokyo on July 8, supporting overnight lows near 21°C by limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under high humidity and light winds typical of early July. This consensus across global and regional models drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–23°C, where even modest shifts in cloud breaks or steering patterns could tip readings a degree lower or sustain them higher. Above-normal seasonal temperatures add slight upward pressure, yet short-term variability in marine layer influence and urban heat retention keeps probabilities balanced across the leading outcomes. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any re-pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
거래량
$288종료일
2026.07.08마켓 개설일
Jul 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to mostly cloudy skies over Tokyo on July 8, supporting overnight lows near 21°C by limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under high humidity and light winds typical of early July. This consensus across global and regional models drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–23°C, where even modest shifts in cloud breaks or steering patterns could tip readings a degree lower or sustain them higher. Above-normal seasonal temperatures add slight upward pressure, yet short-term variability in marine layer influence and urban heat retention keeps probabilities balanced across the leading outcomes. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any re-pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$288종료일
2026.07.08마켓 개설일
Jul 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to mostly cloudy skies over Tokyo on July 8, supporting overnight lows near 21°C by limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under high humidity and light winds typical of early July. This consensus across global and regional models drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–23°C, where even modest shifts in cloud breaks or steering patterns could tip readings a degree lower or sustain them higher. Above-normal seasonal temperatures add slight upward pressure, yet short-term variability in marine layer influence and urban heat retention keeps probabilities balanced across the leading outcomes. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any re-pricing.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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