Short-term forecast models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate cloud cover and possible rain on July 6 moderating Tokyo's maximum temperatures below typical July averages near 29–30°C, with consensus pointing toward highs around 23–25°C. Recent warm-season outlooks project above-normal temperatures overall for summer 2026, yet day-specific guidance highlights steering patterns and humidity levels that could suppress peak readings by several degrees. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 23°C and 24°C outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in model runs and the influence of localized precipitation timing on observed maxima. Updated forecasts closer to the date will refine these probabilities as atmospheric conditions evolve.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 6?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 6?
24°C 37%
23°C 29%
25°C 10%
22°C 9%
신규
신규
2026.07.06
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
9%
23°C
29%
24°C
37%
25°C
10%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 37%
23°C 29%
25°C 10%
22°C 9%
신규
신규
2026.07.06
19°C or below
$95 거래량
<1%
20°C
$13 거래량
1%
21°C
$19 거래량
1%
22°C
$3 거래량
9%
23°C
$0 거래량
29%
24°C
$23 거래량
37%
25°C
$6 거래량
10%
26°C
$16 거래량
4%
27°C
$35 거래량
2%
28°C
$12 거래량
1%
29°C or higher
$16 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate cloud cover and possible rain on July 6 moderating Tokyo's maximum temperatures below typical July averages near 29–30°C, with consensus pointing toward highs around 23–25°C. Recent warm-season outlooks project above-normal temperatures overall for summer 2026, yet day-specific guidance highlights steering patterns and humidity levels that could suppress peak readings by several degrees. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 23°C and 24°C outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in model runs and the influence of localized precipitation timing on observed maxima. Updated forecasts closer to the date will refine these probabilities as atmospheric conditions evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
거래량
$238종료일
2026.07.06마켓 개설일
Jul 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate cloud cover and possible rain on July 6 moderating Tokyo's maximum temperatures below typical July averages near 29–30°C, with consensus pointing toward highs around 23–25°C. Recent warm-season outlooks project above-normal temperatures overall for summer 2026, yet day-specific guidance highlights steering patterns and humidity levels that could suppress peak readings by several degrees. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 23°C and 24°C outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in model runs and the influence of localized precipitation timing on observed maxima. Updated forecasts closer to the date will refine these probabilities as atmospheric conditions evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$238종료일
2026.07.06마켓 개설일
Jul 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETShort-term forecast models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate cloud cover and possible rain on July 6 moderating Tokyo's maximum temperatures below typical July averages near 29–30°C, with consensus pointing toward highs around 23–25°C. Recent warm-season outlooks project above-normal temperatures overall for summer 2026, yet day-specific guidance highlights steering patterns and humidity levels that could suppress peak readings by several degrees. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 23°C and 24°C outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in model runs and the influence of localized precipitation timing on observed maxima. Updated forecasts closer to the date will refine these probabilities as atmospheric conditions evolve.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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