**Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs positions 33–35°C as the most probable peak for Milan on July 6, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 34°C (35%) and 35°C (19.5%) shares.** Persistent subtropical high pressure over the western Mediterranean sustains southerly flow that advects warmer air into the Po Valley, while clear skies and light winds promote strong daytime heating and limited boundary-layer mixing. Historical July climatology for Milan centers near 29–30°C, so the current pattern represents a modest warm anomaly. Urban heat-island effects at central stations can add 1–2°C relative to Malpensa Airport observations used for resolution. Minor ensemble spread in 850 hPa temperatures and any weak frontal timing keeps the distribution tightly clustered; the next ECMWF cycle and Arpa Lombardia updates will likely refine the exact maximum before July 6.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Milan on July 6?
Highest temperature in Milan on July 6?
34°C 37%
35°C 20%
33°C 16%
32°C or below 7%
신규
신규
2026.07.06
32°C or below
7%
33°C
16%
34°C
37%
35°C
20%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
34°C 37%
35°C 20%
33°C 16%
32°C or below 7%
신규
신규
2026.07.06
32°C or below
$24 거래량
7%
33°C
$5 거래량
16%
34°C
$34 거래량
37%
35°C
$18 거래량
20%
36°C
$15 거래량
5%
37°C
$5 거래량
1%
38°C
$5 거래량
1%
39°C
$5 거래량
<1%
40°C
$5 거래량
<1%
41°C
$10 거래량
<1%
42°C or higher
$5 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs positions 33–35°C as the most probable peak for Milan on July 6, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 34°C (35%) and 35°C (19.5%) shares.** Persistent subtropical high pressure over the western Mediterranean sustains southerly flow that advects warmer air into the Po Valley, while clear skies and light winds promote strong daytime heating and limited boundary-layer mixing. Historical July climatology for Milan centers near 29–30°C, so the current pattern represents a modest warm anomaly. Urban heat-island effects at central stations can add 1–2°C relative to Malpensa Airport observations used for resolution. Minor ensemble spread in 850 hPa temperatures and any weak frontal timing keeps the distribution tightly clustered; the next ECMWF cycle and Arpa Lombardia updates will likely refine the exact maximum before July 6.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
거래량
$132종료일
2026.07.06마켓 개설일
Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs positions 33–35°C as the most probable peak for Milan on July 6, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 34°C (35%) and 35°C (19.5%) shares.** Persistent subtropical high pressure over the western Mediterranean sustains southerly flow that advects warmer air into the Po Valley, while clear skies and light winds promote strong daytime heating and limited boundary-layer mixing. Historical July climatology for Milan centers near 29–30°C, so the current pattern represents a modest warm anomaly. Urban heat-island effects at central stations can add 1–2°C relative to Malpensa Airport observations used for resolution. Minor ensemble spread in 850 hPa temperatures and any weak frontal timing keeps the distribution tightly clustered; the next ECMWF cycle and Arpa Lombardia updates will likely refine the exact maximum before July 6.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$132종료일
2026.07.06마켓 개설일
Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET**Model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs positions 33–35°C as the most probable peak for Milan on July 6, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 34°C (35%) and 35°C (19.5%) shares.** Persistent subtropical high pressure over the western Mediterranean sustains southerly flow that advects warmer air into the Po Valley, while clear skies and light winds promote strong daytime heating and limited boundary-layer mixing. Historical July climatology for Milan centers near 29–30°C, so the current pattern represents a modest warm anomaly. Urban heat-island effects at central stations can add 1–2°C relative to Malpensa Airport observations used for resolution. Minor ensemble spread in 850 hPa temperatures and any weak frontal timing keeps the distribution tightly clustered; the next ECMWF cycle and Arpa Lombardia updates will likely refine the exact maximum before July 6.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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