**Trader sentiment for Karachi's July 6 peak temperature centers on the 35–36°C range (combined ~59% implied probability), reflecting model consensus for near-normal to slightly above-average July conditions at Masroor Airbase amid a delayed monsoon.** Pakistan Meteorological Department’s July 2026 outlook indicates above-normal temperatures and below-normal rainfall nationwide, reducing cloud cover and allowing stronger daytime heating while the typical Arabian Sea breeze and high humidity cap extremes. Recent July 3 observations reached ~36°C (96.7°F), consistent with early-month climatology of 32–34°C averages but trending warmer under suppressed monsoon flow. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with small shifts in steering winds or localized convection able to tip the daily maximum by 1°C either way—explaining the tight clustering between the two leading outcomes. Lower probabilities for 37°C+ reflect the moderating influence of coastal moisture and the low historical frequency of 40°C+ days in July, while sub-34°C outcomes remain discounted given the warm baseline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Karachi on July 6?
Highest temperature in Karachi on July 6?
35°C 32%
36°C 30%
37°C 13%
38°C 10.9%
신규
신규
2026.07.06
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
4%
34°C
5%
35°C
32%
36°C
30%
37°C
13%
38°C
9%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 32%
36°C 30%
37°C 13%
38°C 10.9%
신규
신규
2026.07.06
30°C or below
$0 거래량
1%
31°C
$5 거래량
1%
32°C
$27 거래량
4%
33°C
$69 거래량
4%
34°C
$0 거래량
5%
35°C
$25 거래량
32%
36°C
$0 거래량
30%
37°C
$18 거래량
13%
38°C
$10 거래량
9%
39°C
$405 거래량
<1%
40°C or higher
$5 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Karachi's July 6 peak temperature centers on the 35–36°C range (combined ~59% implied probability), reflecting model consensus for near-normal to slightly above-average July conditions at Masroor Airbase amid a delayed monsoon.**
Pakistan Meteorological Department’s July 2026 outlook indicates above-normal temperatures and below-normal rainfall nationwide, reducing cloud cover and allowing stronger daytime heating while the typical Arabian Sea breeze and high humidity cap extremes. Recent July 3 observations reached ~36°C (96.7°F), consistent with early-month climatology of 32–34°C averages but trending warmer under suppressed monsoon flow.
Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with small shifts in steering winds or localized convection able to tip the daily maximum by 1°C either way—explaining the tight clustering between the two leading outcomes. Lower probabilities for 37°C+ reflect the moderating influence of coastal moisture and the low historical frequency of 40°C+ days in July, while sub-34°C outcomes remain discounted given the warm baseline.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
거래량
$564종료일
2026.07.06마켓 개설일
Jul 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Karachi's July 6 peak temperature centers on the 35–36°C range (combined ~59% implied probability), reflecting model consensus for near-normal to slightly above-average July conditions at Masroor Airbase amid a delayed monsoon.**
Pakistan Meteorological Department’s July 2026 outlook indicates above-normal temperatures and below-normal rainfall nationwide, reducing cloud cover and allowing stronger daytime heating while the typical Arabian Sea breeze and high humidity cap extremes. Recent July 3 observations reached ~36°C (96.7°F), consistent with early-month climatology of 32–34°C averages but trending warmer under suppressed monsoon flow.
Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with small shifts in steering winds or localized convection able to tip the daily maximum by 1°C either way—explaining the tight clustering between the two leading outcomes. Lower probabilities for 37°C+ reflect the moderating influence of coastal moisture and the low historical frequency of 40°C+ days in July, while sub-34°C outcomes remain discounted given the warm baseline.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$564종료일
2026.07.06마켓 개설일
Jul 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET**Trader sentiment for Karachi's July 6 peak temperature centers on the 35–36°C range (combined ~59% implied probability), reflecting model consensus for near-normal to slightly above-average July conditions at Masroor Airbase amid a delayed monsoon.** Pakistan Meteorological Department’s July 2026 outlook indicates above-normal temperatures and below-normal rainfall nationwide, reducing cloud cover and allowing stronger daytime heating while the typical Arabian Sea breeze and high humidity cap extremes. Recent July 3 observations reached ~36°C (96.7°F), consistent with early-month climatology of 32–34°C averages but trending warmer under suppressed monsoon flow. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with small shifts in steering winds or localized convection able to tip the daily maximum by 1°C either way—explaining the tight clustering between the two leading outcomes. Lower probabilities for 37°C+ reflect the moderating influence of coastal moisture and the low historical frequency of 40°C+ days in July, while sub-34°C outcomes remain discounted given the warm baseline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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