Latest Met Office guidance forecasts a maximum of 27°C for London on July 4 under building high pressure and a southerly airflow, while ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS show a tight cluster around 26–29°C with modest uncertainty from cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. The 27°C and 28°C outcomes lead because modest insolation and light winds favor peak readings near the seasonal July average of 22–23°C, offset by recent warming trends after June’s heatwave. Differentiation among these bins hinges on small variations in 850 hPa temperatures, urban heat-island enhancement at official sites, and any late-afternoon sea-breeze effects that could cap readings at 26°C or allow brief spikes toward 29°C.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in London on July 4?
Highest temperature in London on July 4?
28°C 35%
29°C 29%
27°C 21%
26°C 10%
신규
신규
2026.07.04
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
10%
27°C
21%
28°C
35%
29°C
29%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 35%
29°C 29%
27°C 21%
26°C 10%
신규
신규
2026.07.04
23°C or below
$634 거래량
<1%
24°C
$157 거래량
<1%
25°C
$309 거래량
3%
26°C
$255 거래량
10%
27°C
$972 거래량
21%
28°C
$540 거래량
35%
29°C
$299 거래량
29%
30°C
$297 거래량
6%
31°C
$133 거래량
1%
32°C
$246 거래량
1%
33°C or higher
$468 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance forecasts a maximum of 27°C for London on July 4 under building high pressure and a southerly airflow, while ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS show a tight cluster around 26–29°C with modest uncertainty from cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. The 27°C and 28°C outcomes lead because modest insolation and light winds favor peak readings near the seasonal July average of 22–23°C, offset by recent warming trends after June’s heatwave. Differentiation among these bins hinges on small variations in 850 hPa temperatures, urban heat-island enhancement at official sites, and any late-afternoon sea-breeze effects that could cap readings at 26°C or allow brief spikes toward 29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 2, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
거래량
$4,309종료일
2026.07.04마켓 개설일
Jul 2, 2026, 1:01 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance forecasts a maximum of 27°C for London on July 4 under building high pressure and a southerly airflow, while ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS show a tight cluster around 26–29°C with modest uncertainty from cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. The 27°C and 28°C outcomes lead because modest insolation and light winds favor peak readings near the seasonal July average of 22–23°C, offset by recent warming trends after June’s heatwave. Differentiation among these bins hinges on small variations in 850 hPa temperatures, urban heat-island enhancement at official sites, and any late-afternoon sea-breeze effects that could cap readings at 26°C or allow brief spikes toward 29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$4,309종료일
2026.07.04마켓 개설일
Jul 2, 2026, 1:01 AM ETLatest Met Office guidance forecasts a maximum of 27°C for London on July 4 under building high pressure and a southerly airflow, while ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS show a tight cluster around 26–29°C with modest uncertainty from cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. The 27°C and 28°C outcomes lead because modest insolation and light winds favor peak readings near the seasonal July average of 22–23°C, offset by recent warming trends after June’s heatwave. Differentiation among these bins hinges on small variations in 850 hPa temperatures, urban heat-island enhancement at official sites, and any late-afternoon sea-breeze effects that could cap readings at 26°C or allow brief spikes toward 29°C.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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